{"id":926,"date":"2015-07-15T13:42:37","date_gmt":"2015-07-15T13:42:37","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blogs.sussex.ac.uk\/sussexenergygroup\/?p=926"},"modified":"2015-07-16T09:50:37","modified_gmt":"2015-07-16T09:50:37","slug":"our-common-future-under-climate-change","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blogs.sussex.ac.uk\/sussexenergygroup\/2015\/07\/15\/our-common-future-under-climate-change\/","title":{"rendered":"Paris warms up for climate event of the decade &#8211; Our Common Future under Climate Change"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Last week, more than 2000 climate change researchers gathered in Paris for the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.commonfuture-paris2015.org\/\">\u2018Our Common Future under Climate Change\u2019<\/a> conference, an enormous and prestigious event as part of the preparations for the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cop21.gouv.fr\/en\">COP21<\/a> climate negotiations in Paris later this year. The talks and conversations were hugely diverse, but a key message was summed up by Fatih Birol, chief economist at the IEA: \u201cIs it enough? No. But is it a good step? Yes\u201d.<!--more--><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/blogs.sussex.ac.uk\/sussexenergygroup\/files\/2015\/07\/Our-common-future-under-climate-change-Emily-cox-blog-post.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignleft  wp-image-929\" src=\"https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/blogs.sussex.ac.uk\/sussexenergygroup\/files\/2015\/07\/Our-common-future-under-climate-change-Emily-cox-blog-post.jpg?resize=550%2C367\" alt=\"Our common future under climate change - Emily cox blog post\" width=\"550\" height=\"367\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\" \/><\/a>The Our Common Future conference involved scientists from a huge range of disciplines and nationalities, all gathered in the gorgeous surroundings of the UNESCO building in the shadow of the Eiffel Tower, during a (somewhat appropriate) major heatwave. This was by far the largest conference I have ever attended, and the sense of gravitas (and ironically, the level of air conditioning) was magnified by the stunning building complete with UN-style meeting rooms. Highlights included:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>The special event on the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/environment\/fossil-fuel-divestment\">Guardian divestment campaign<\/a>, which looked at whether journalists should act as \u2018advocates\u2019 or whether they should stick to disengaged reporting of the facts. At the end of the session, the chair asked for a show of hands of those in support of the Guardian\u2019s divestment campaign; I had a warm fuzzy glow when almost every person in the 400-capacity room raised their hands.<\/li>\n<li>A truly inspiring speech from Hans Schellnhuber of the Potsdam Institute on the final day of the conference, which called for an <a href=\"http:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/environment\/2015\/jul\/10\/fossil-fuel-industry-must-implode-to-avoid-climate-disaster-says-top-scientist\">\u2018induced implosion\u2019<\/a> of the fossil industry and asked the room: \u201cWe need to make a decision \u2013 do we want to be part of the generation which finally screwed up the planet for the next 1000 years?\u201d<\/li>\n<li>A parallel session on fossil fuels and lock-in, which incorporated some impressive modelling work from <a href=\"http:\/\/www.iiasa.ac.at\/staff\/staff.php?type=auto&amp;visibility=visible&amp;search=true&amp;login=mccollum\">David McCollum<\/a>, <a href=\"http:\/\/sei-us.org\/about\/staff_person\/6\">Peter Erickson<\/a>, <a href=\"http:\/\/iopscience.iop.org\/1748-9326\/9\/8\/084018\/article\">Steven Davis<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pik-potsdam.de\/members\/hilaire\">Jerome Hilaire<\/a>, as well as a really interesting political economy approach from <a href=\"http:\/\/www.erc.uct.ac.za\/Research\/publications\/14-Burton-Winkler-Coal_expansion.pdf\">Jesse Burton<\/a> and some very salient comments from the big cheese himself Rob Socolow. The chair noted that despite rather low attendance for this session, the issue of lock-in to fossil fuels is in many ways the defining challenge of a low-carbon transition.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Unfortunately, the organisation of the parallel sessions meant that many of the most relevant sessions to people\u2019s topic areas were running simultaneously. It\u2019s a shame that the plenary sessions were so long \u2013 it meant that there was less time for parallel sessions, and that tough choices had to be made over which talks to attend, whilst also sitting through long and sometimes rather dull plenary speeches. In general, the week was highly enjoyable; however, there was a distinct lack of opportunities for audience involvement during many of the sessions, with panel discussions often becoming a conversation between the people on stage, and little chance to hear from the enormously diverse perspectives of the audience. For this reason, the exemplary poster sessions offered a welcome chance to discuss some world-class research on a staggering breadth of topics.<\/p>\n<p>Prospects for the COP21 in Paris are uncertain; the voluntary carbon commitments (<a href=\"http:\/\/unfccc.int\/focus\/indc_portal\/items\/8766.php\">INDCs<\/a>) submitted by countries are a step in the right direction, but they are <a href=\"http:\/\/climateactiontracker.org\/global.html\">nowhere near enough<\/a> to get us to a safe 2\u00b0C limit on warming. A <a href=\"http:\/\/www.iea.org\/publications\/freepublications\/publication\/WEO2015SpecialReportonEnergyandClimateChange.pdf\">major new report<\/a> by the IEA argues that the Paris talks need to deliver concrete messages for the energy sector, if it is to avoid making investments now which will lock it into dangerous levels of emissions. But at the same time, everyone is aware of the need to manage expectations, and every attendee of the conference had uneasy memories of the failure in Copenhagen in 2009. The challenge for the negotiators at COP21 will therefore be to somehow simultaneously aim for the most whilst expecting the least.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, the conference really illustrated that the challenges for researchers are enormous. We need to understand and engage with multiple disciplines, as well as maintaining an in-depth understanding of a diversity of national and regional contexts <em>and<\/em> engaging with policy and communications. However, based on the Our Common Future conference, scientists are more than ready to embrace these challenges. I felt utterly privileged to be a tiny, insignificant part of such a gathering of international and interdisciplinary research. We have an awfully long way to go, and none amongst us still subscribes to the \u2018Copenhagen delusion\u2019. But we are hoping for a strong narrative from COP21, and a recognition that this year is just one small step on a long road, but one which could hopefully form part of a global transition of a scale never before experienced.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h6><a href=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/blogs.sussex.ac.uk\/sussexenergygroup\/files\/2015\/07\/Emily-Cox-2015.jpg\"><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignleft size-full wp-image-934\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/blogs.sussex.ac.uk\/sussexenergygroup\/files\/2015\/07\/Emily-Cox-2015.jpg?resize=150%2C177\" alt=\"A photograph of Emily Cox, smiling\" width=\"150\" height=\"177\" srcset=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/blogs.sussex.ac.uk\/sussexenergygroup\/files\/2015\/07\/Emily-Cox-2015.jpg?w=150&amp;ssl=1 150w, https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/blogs.sussex.ac.uk\/sussexenergygroup\/files\/2015\/07\/Emily-Cox-2015.jpg?resize=100%2C118&amp;ssl=1 100w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 150px) 100vw, 150px\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\" \/><\/a><a href=\"http:\/\/www.sussex.ac.uk\/sussexenergygroup\/people\/person\/261531\">Emily Cox<\/a> is a PhD student with the Sussex Energy Group at the University of Sussex, researching electricity security in the context of a low-carbon transition. She is developing a methodology which can be used to assess low-carbon transition pathways for their resilience, affordability and sustainability. Emily is also currently a research intern at Oxford University, examining the role of the public in meeting the UK carbon budgets. She recently worked for the Royal Academy of Engineering, undertaking research into the social and economic impacts of electricity shortfalls. She has also spent time working for E.ON Technologies at the Ratcliffe-on-Soar power station, researching energy security, district heating, distributed storage, and the UK Capacity Market. She previously worked as a network coordinator for Greenpeace. Emily is an Associate Tutor at the University of Sussex, tutoring an MSc in Energy Policy and an undergraduate module in energy transitions. She holds an MSc in Climate Change and Policy, a BSc in International Relations, and half of a rather ill-advised BA in music.<\/h6>\nFollow Sussex Energy Group      <span class=\"synved-social-container synved-social-container-follow\"><a class=\"synved-social-button synved-social-button-follow synved-social-size-16 synved-social-resolution-single synved-social-provider-facebook nolightbox\" data-provider=\"facebook\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\" title=\"Follow us on Facebook\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/pages\/Sussex-Energy-Group\/448345351971248?ref=hl\" style=\"font-size: 0px; width:16px;height:16px;margin:0;margin-bottom:5px;margin-right:5px;\"><img alt=\"Facebook\" title=\"Follow us on Facebook\" class=\"synved-share-image synved-social-image synved-social-image-follow\" width=\"16\" height=\"16\" style=\"display: inline; width:16px;height:16px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border: none; box-shadow: none;\" src=\"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/blogs.sussex.ac.uk\/sussexenergygroup\/wp-content\/plugins\/social-media-feather\/synved-social\/image\/social\/regular\/32x32\/facebook.png?resize=16%2C16&#038;ssl=1\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\" \/><\/a><a class=\"synved-social-button synved-social-button-follow synved-social-size-16 synved-social-resolution-single synved-social-provider-twitter nolightbox\" data-provider=\"twitter\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\" title=\"Follow us on Twitter\" href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/SussexNRGGroup\" style=\"font-size: 0px; width:16px;height:16px;margin:0;margin-bottom:5px;margin-right:5px;\"><img alt=\"twitter\" title=\"Follow us on Twitter\" class=\"synved-share-image synved-social-image synved-social-image-follow\" width=\"16\" height=\"16\" style=\"display: inline; width:16px;height:16px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border: none; box-shadow: none;\" src=\"https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/blogs.sussex.ac.uk\/sussexenergygroup\/wp-content\/plugins\/social-media-feather\/synved-social\/image\/social\/regular\/32x32\/twitter.png?resize=16%2C16&#038;ssl=1\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\" \/><\/a><a class=\"synved-social-button synved-social-button-follow synved-social-size-16 synved-social-resolution-single synved-social-provider-linkedin nolightbox\" data-provider=\"linkedin\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\" title=\"Find us on Linkedin\" href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/company\/sussex-energy-group\" style=\"font-size: 0px; width:16px;height:16px;margin:0;margin-bottom:5px;\"><img alt=\"linkedin\" title=\"Find us on Linkedin\" class=\"synved-share-image synved-social-image synved-social-image-follow\" width=\"16\" height=\"16\" style=\"display: inline; width:16px;height:16px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border: none; box-shadow: none;\" src=\"https:\/\/i2.wp.com\/blogs.sussex.ac.uk\/sussexenergygroup\/wp-content\/plugins\/social-media-feather\/synved-social\/image\/social\/regular\/32x32\/linkedin.png?resize=16%2C16&#038;ssl=1\" data-recalc-dims=\"1\" \/><\/a><\/span>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Last week, more than 2000 climate change researchers gathered in Paris for the \u2018Our Common Future under Climate Change\u2019 conference, an enormous and prestigious event as part of the preparations for the COP21 climate negotiations in Paris later this year.<span class=\"ellipsis\">&hellip;<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"read-more\"><a href=\"https:\/\/blogs.sussex.ac.uk\/sussexenergygroup\/2015\/07\/15\/our-common-future-under-climate-change\/\">Read more &#8250;<\/a><\/div>\n<p><!-- end of .read-more --><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":129,"featured_media":929,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"spay_email":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_is_tweetstorm":false},"categories":[96027,76216,34914,39117],"tags":[10837,90294,96094,76500,90293,38397,96093,43416,46991],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v16.6.1 - 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The polarisation between bad and good views of the deal is no surprise to anybody familiar with the politics of sustainability in general, and\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;All Posts&quot;","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":618,"url":"https:\/\/blogs.sussex.ac.uk\/sussexenergygroup\/2015\/02\/09\/shadows-over-cop21\/","url_meta":{"origin":926,"position":1},"title":"Shadows over COP21","date":"9 February 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"While the IPCC\u2019s 5th Assessment Report demonstrates an increased confidence among the world\u2019s climate scientists of the causal relationship between anthropogenic (man made) greenhouse gas emissions and a dangerously warming planet, paradoxically, it will not necessarily be the science that drives the negotiation processes at the 21st Conference of the\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;All Posts&quot;","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i0.wp.com\/blogs.sussex.ac.uk\/sussexenergygroup\/files\/2015\/02\/nick-pic3-219x300.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":1249,"url":"https:\/\/blogs.sussex.ac.uk\/sussexenergygroup\/2016\/02\/16\/storm-imogen-reminds-us-there-are-winners-and-losers-with-climate-change\/","url_meta":{"origin":926,"position":2},"title":"Storm Imogen reminds us that there are winners and losers with climate change","date":"16 February 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"AFTER Storm Imogen, is it not time more people faced up to the reality that man-made climate change is causing huge changes to weather patterns which are affecting us? One storm does not equal climate change, neither does one hot summer. The point is that unusual weather events are becoming\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;All Posts&quot;","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"https:\/\/i1.wp.com\/blogs.sussex.ac.uk\/sussexenergygroup\/files\/2016\/02\/24312255153_e16258cbb8_b-300x200.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":499,"url":"https:\/\/blogs.sussex.ac.uk\/sussexenergygroup\/2015\/01\/12\/unburnable-fossil-fuels-whose-limit-is-it-anyway\/","url_meta":{"origin":926,"position":3},"title":"Unburnable fossil fuels - whose limit is it anyway?","date":"12 January 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"A research letter in Nature by Dr Christophe McGlade and Prof Paul Ekins\u00a0(McGlade & Ekins 2015) has dared to go where policymakers and leaders across the globe have not: For a reasonable chance of limiting global warming to 2 degrees C; McGlade & Ekins provide not only the quantity of\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;All Posts&quot;","img":{"alt_text":"Coal, Oil, Gas unburnable reserves by region","src":"https:\/\/i1.wp.com\/blogs.sussex.ac.uk\/sussexenergygroup\/files\/2015\/01\/Claires-pic1.jpg?resize=350%2C200","width":350,"height":200},"classes":[]},{"id":1240,"url":"https:\/\/blogs.sussex.ac.uk\/sussexenergygroup\/2016\/01\/20\/need-rethink-financial-future-oil\/","url_meta":{"origin":926,"position":4},"title":"Why we need to rethink the financial future of oil","date":"20 January 2016","format":false,"excerpt":"Andreas Goldthau, Central European University and Benjamin Sovacool, University of Sussex The price of oil keeps moving in one direction \u2013 down. Even political tension between Iran and Saudi Arabia (historically a cause of price rises) has not stopped the drop. It may come as a surprise to some, but\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;All Posts&quot;","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]},{"id":975,"url":"https:\/\/blogs.sussex.ac.uk\/sussexenergygroup\/2015\/08\/12\/tory-energy-policies-undo-effort\/","url_meta":{"origin":926,"position":5},"title":"Short-sighted Tory energy policies could undo years of effort","date":"12 August 2015","format":false,"excerpt":"A\u00a0re-blog of a\u00a0post in The Conversation by CIED's Noam Bergman,\u00a0Lee Stapleton\u00a0and Mari Martiskainen The new Conservative government is letting slip its commitments to renewable energy and climate change mitigation. The bad decisions keep coming, and don\u2019t add up to a policy strategy consistent with the UK\u2019s emissions and efficiency targets,\u2026","rel":"","context":"In &quot;All Posts&quot;","img":{"alt_text":"","src":"","width":0,"height":0},"classes":[]}],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.sussex.ac.uk\/sussexenergygroup\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/926"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.sussex.ac.uk\/sussexenergygroup\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.sussex.ac.uk\/sussexenergygroup\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.sussex.ac.uk\/sussexenergygroup\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/129"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.sussex.ac.uk\/sussexenergygroup\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=926"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.sussex.ac.uk\/sussexenergygroup\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/926\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":939,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.sussex.ac.uk\/sussexenergygroup\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/926\/revisions\/939"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.sussex.ac.uk\/sussexenergygroup\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/929"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blogs.sussex.ac.uk\/sussexenergygroup\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=926"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.sussex.ac.uk\/sussexenergygroup\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=926"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blogs.sussex.ac.uk\/sussexenergygroup\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=926"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}