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12 September 2022

Michael Gasiorek is Director of the UK Trade Policy Observatory and Co-Director of the Centre for Inclusive Trade Policy. He is Professor of Economics at the University of Sussex Business School.

Once again, the UK has a new Prime Minister, a new cabinet, and thus a new Secretary of State for International Trade. This is the 4th Secretary of State for trade in five years! (more…)

September 12th, 2022

Posted In: UK - Non EU, UK- EU, Uncategorised

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4 May 2022

Minako Morita-Jaeger is Policy Research Fellow at the UK Trade Policy Observatory and
Senior Research Fellow in International Trade in the Department of Economics, University of Sussex

The UK Government is aiming to secure the UK’s status as “a global hub” of digital trade, using Free Trade Agreements (FTAs) as well as digital economy agreements. Driven by the UK’s Indo-Pacific tilt strategy, the UK has been signing FTAs that include specific chapters/agreements on digital trade (such as with Australia, New Zealand, and Japan) and a digital economy agreement with Singapore. (more…)

May 4th, 2022

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Briefing Paper 65 – December 2021

Peter Holmes and Guillermo Larbalestier

Key Points

Introduction

How important is the UK-US trade relationship and what are the main challenges?

Goods Trade

Regulatory Challenges

Agriculture and Agri-food

Services Trade and Digital Trade

Value Chain Activity

Trade in Intermediates

Trade in Value-added (TiVA)

Supply Chain Resilience

Where does the UK fit into the US-EU-China trilateral relationship?

Climate change cooperation

Conclusion

Key Points

  • The UK Government has signed (or “rolled-over”) trade deals with the EU and almost 70 other countries as part of its post-Brexit Global Britain vision. However, a trade deal with its largest single-country trading partner – the US – remains elusive despite significant economic interests and rounds of official negotiations.
  • The bilateral commercial relationship is biased towards services and investment as opposed to goods. Despite this, Free Trade Agreement (FTA) provisions on market access for goods present some of the bigger obstacles towards consolidating the agreement. In the absence of an FTA, closer economic integration is more likely to be achieved through ad-hoc regulatory deals and other stand-alone deals that could address trade barriers specific to sectors or industries.
  • The UK’s ability to lead the world on trade policy has been undermined by the US preference for an association with the EU and a steady deterioration in relations with China. The scope for the UK to be an intermediary is waning as the UK cannot influence EU policy and closeness to former President Trump added to the Chinese sense that the UK was ill-disposed towards China.
  • Climate change is an area where the UK is broadly in alignment with its main trading partners on the key targets but not on how trade rules should be used to achieve them. UK compliance with EU rules would not be likely to create a conflict with the US and, in principle, the UK could be an intermediary in discussions between the US and the EU on how to minimise tensions on Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanisms (CBAMs) but it is unlikely the UK will have much independent leverage.
  • In the absence of a free trade agreement there may be scope for cooperation in specific areas such as new technologies, digital trade and supply chain resilience even if the UK is currently a less interesting partner for the US

(more…)

December 21st, 2021

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22 October 2020

Dr Minako Morita-Jaeger, International Trade Policy Consultant and Fellow, UK Trade Policy Observatory at the University of Sussex.

The Japan-UK Free Trade Agreement will be signed soon, the UK’s first post-Brexit trade agreement. While the Agreement has a certain political significance, its economic impact is likely to be very small. This is because it contains very limited improvements relative to the EU-Japan Economic Partnership Agreement (EPA). While a detailed examination will only become possible once the text is put on the public domain, one of the key shortfalls in the agreement appears to be the treatment of investment. (more…)

October 22nd, 2020

Posted In: UK - Non EU

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Briefing Paper 47 – September 2020

Emily Lydgate and Chloe Anthony

Key Points

Introduction

Setting out a clear strategy

Core legislation does not integrate trade-related emissions into the climate target

UK Free Trade Agreements diverge in approach and ambition

Acting on areas of ‘mutual supportiveness’

Fossil fuel subsidies are non-transparent

A positive step for policy coherence: liberalisation of environmental goods

Addressing areas of potential conflict

Climate change mitigation subsidies in the global context

Current UK climate change mitigation subsidies are not ambitious or transparent enough

UK carbon pricing is still not high or consistent enough to meet the net-zero target

Conclusion

Key points

  • To become a world leader in trade and climate policy the UK needs to develop an integrated strategy that enhances areas of mutual supportiveness and addresses areas of potential conflict.

Enhancing mutual supportiveness:

  • UK climate legislation does not currently include trade-related emissions. Factoring in aviation and shipping would help to address this problem.
  • The UK’s approach to integrating climate into its new free trade agreements (FTAs), as well as its ‘continuity agreements’ with former EU FTA trade partners, is inconsistent. Notably, continuity agreements are a lost opportunity to update existing trade agreements in order to reflect the net-zero emissions by 2050 target.
  • Subsidies for fossil fuels should be transparent and reduced, and exceptions to carbon taxes narrowed or removed to provide coherence with both WTO rules and the net-zero target.
  • The UK has unilaterally reduced tariffs on a number of environmental goods but has maintained relatively high EU tariffs on bicycles and hybrid electric vehicles, which could be further reduced.

Addressing areas of potential conflict:

  • A green recovery from Covid-19 provides an impetus to introduce broader and higher carbon taxes, but these could have a negative impact on UK firms and push the UK towards imposing commensurate carbon taxes on imported products. To avoid this potential area of conflict with WTO obligations and/or relationships, the UK needs to raise ambition for carbon pricing in the WTO arena and in its FTA negotiations.
  • Barring an increase in global ambition to accelerate climate-friendly manufacturing, probably more trade restrictions will be needed to achieve a net-zero target. The UK will need to move towards or maintain trade preferences that support the target.
  • Current UK green subsidies are likely to be WTO-compliant but fall short of the ambition needed to achieve the net-zero target, but upping ambition also increases the risk of WTO non-compliance. This underscores the need to replace disciplines provided under the EU State Aid framework.

(more…)

September 9th, 2020

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Trade Bites, the UKTPO’s new podcast series, explores all things trade policy – including Brexit, Trade Wars, and the World Trade System.

Hosted by Chris Horseman, Deputy Editor of the Trade Policy News Service – Borderlex, and funded by the Economic and Social Research Council, the series aims to provide a cultural artefact on trade policy at a critical point not just for the UK, but for the wider world.

Available on  iTunes | SoundcloudSpotify


Series Three

Episode 12 – Nearshoring and Global Value Chains

14 October 2022

Over the past 40 years or so, exporters have got used to the idea that the whole world is their marketplace – a notion which has been encouraged through moves by governments around the world to reduce tariffs and other barriers to trade. But with global pandemics, trade wars, fuel crises and over the past few years – could it be that the process of globalisation might be moving into reverse?

“Near-shoring” is the idea that in today’s increasingly problematic global trading environment, you might be better off buying and selling in markets which are more nearby, and hence less fraught with risk. This episode looks at whether this phenomenon actually happening, how prevalent it is  and what is causing it.

Joining Chris Horseman are Dr Alessandro Borin, Bank of Italy; Professor Maria Savona, University of Sussex and LUISS in Rome; and Dr Camilla Jensen, UK Trade Policy Observatory.


Episode 11 – The future of the UK-EU trading relationship

24 August 2022

In this podcast we look at how the United Kingdom is getting on with its most significant trade relationship, that with its biggest trading partner the European Union. Over 18 months since the UK finally left the EU’s Single Market and went ahead with the version of Brexit favoured by Prime Minister Boris Johnson and his team, questions are being asked about Britain’s post-Brexit journey. Economic data suggests that the UK’s economy is growing less rapidly than most other G20 countries, and diplomatic relations between the EU and the UK continue to be frosty amidst ongoing disagreements over the implementation of the Northern Ireland Protocol.

Many do not realise that the EU-UK relationship is not set in stone. The review clause of the EU-UK Trade and Cooperation Agreement means that within a couple of years, the arguments about what sort of relationship the UK wants with the EU will be right back on the table. But how well prepared is the UK to reopen those debates about alignment versus divergence, and sovereignty versus market access? Does the upcoming review create the opportunity for something better – or does it entail the threat of something worse?

To give us their considered opinions on all this, Chris Horseman is joined by Dr Peter Holmes, Fellow of the UK Trade Policy Observatory at the University of Sussex, Georgina Wright, Senior Fellow and Director of the European Programme at the Institut Montaigne in Paris, as well as two distinguished former director generals at the European Commission, Sir Michael Leigh, now Academic Director of the European Public Policy Masters course at John Hopkins University, and Sir Jonathan Faull, current Chair of European Public Affairs at the Brunswick Group.


Episode 10 – Supply Chain Resilience

20 July 2022

Global supply chains have barely left the headlines in recent years. It is a fact of modern life that many of the goods we consume have multiple components manufactured in different places at different times which somehow come together to create the finished article. Yet global supply chains have started to come under pressure from a series of shocks ranging from the geopolitical to the environmental. From baby formula to cars, when consumers face shortages supply chains become part of everyday vocabulary. Besides the recent dislocations caused by the pandemic and the war in Ukraine, there are inherent political, technical and ethical dimensions to supply chains themselves and how they function.

How could life be made easier for manufacturers of complex goods with complex supply chains? Have supply chains and globalisation become too complex? Will we ever get back to those days where we won’t hear the phrase “we can’t get the parts” as often as we do today? To answer these questions and more Chris Horseman is joined by Dr Sam Roscoe, Research Fellow at the UK Trade Policy Observatory at the University of Sussex Business School, Dr Chad P. Bown, Senior Fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics in the US, and Dr Chul Chung, Senior Research Fellow at the Korea Institute for International Economic Policy.


Episode 9 – The new trading arrangements with the EU: UK-EU trade in goods in 2021

13 April 2022

It has been over a year since the UK signed its single most important post-Brexit trade instrument – the Trade and Cooperation Agreement (TCA) with the EU – establishing a framework for the UK relationship with the EU in a wide range of areas. In this episode, we consider the full year of data now available for EU-UK trade in goods in 2021 and assess the impact of the Agreement. Bearing in mind that Covid-19 has ensured that everything has been but business as usual, clear trends are starting to emerge and questions are starting to be asked as to exactly what’s happening and why?

Why have the 70-mile queues outside the port of Dover, which the Government postulated in 2020 as a reasonable worst case scenario, failed to materialise? Why has the UK failed so far to impose a full range of checks on goods coming into the UK and what might happen once they start to do so? And how have businesses by and large coped with the extra bureaucracy which being outside of the EU single market has entailed?

To discuss all of these issues and more, Chris Horseman is joined by Professor Michael Gasiorek, Director of the UK Trade Policy Observatory, Emily Rees, Founder of Trade Strategies and Senior Fellow at the European Centre for International Political Economy in Brussels, Peter Foster, Public Policy Editor of The Financial Times and author of the ‘Britain after Brexit’ newsletter, and William Bain, Head of Trade Policy at the British Chambers of Commerce.


Episode 8 – Reviewing the UK’s first post-Brexit trade deal: UK-Australia

4 April 2022

The UK signed a bilateral Free Trade Agreement with Australia in December 2021. This is the first ‘new’ Free Trade Agreement (FTA) the UK has negotiated with a trade partner. This ‘world-class’ agreement marks a ‘landmark moment in the historic and vital relationship between our two Commonwealth nations’, according to the international trade secretary, Anne-Marie Trevelyan.

It’s certainly an ambitious Agreement, for one thing it will remove practically all tariff protection for imports of agricultural products – something which the EU would be very unlikely to have countenanced. But what does the agreement deliver in other areas, like services, government procurement, climate protection or digital trade? Furthermore, the Agreement is potentially an important benchmark for future trade negotiations, notably the ongoing application by the UK for accession to the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP), so how does it fair in terms of broader trade relations?

To make their assessments of the new agreement, Chris Horseman is joined by Dr Emily Lydgate, Deputy Director of the UK Trade Policy Observatory, Dr Minako Morita-Jaeger, Senior Research Fellow in International Trade at the University of Sussex, and Policy Research Fellow at the UK Trade Policy Observatory with special guest, Professor Peter Draper, Executive Director of the Institute for International Trade at the University of Adelaide.


Episode 7 – Emission Critical: The EU’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism

28 March 2022

This episode looks at the climate crisis, and specifically the trade policy response to the push towards net zero in Europe and around the world. A whole market infrastructure has been created in Europe and elsewhere with carbon emission allowances being bought and sold as a way of taxing high-emission producers and providing a financial incentive to encourage more climate-friendly production systems. However, some countries worry that heavy industry might relocate because their climate regulation makes it too expensive to operate. This could be bad for global climate action, as it will result in more greenhouse gas emissions in less regulated countries – a problem called Carbon Leakage.

The European Commission’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) aims to address Carbon Leakage by requiring (for certain products) both imported and domestic products to pay the same carbon price. How will it work? Is it compatible with the rules of the World Trade Organization? And, should the UK have its own version?

Dr Ioannis Zachariadis, Policy Officer at the European Commission’s Directorate-General for Taxation and the Customs Union joins Chris Horseman and Dr Emily Lydgate, Deputy Director of the UK Trade Policy Observatory, along with Dr Camilla Jensen, and Dr Peter Holmes, both Fellows of the UK Trade Policy Observatory.


Episode 6 – What does an inclusive trade policy mean and how to achieve it?

30 November 2021

Who are the ultimate stakeholders in UK trade policy? And how much of a say do they actually have in the policies that ultimately govern us?

Things have certainly moved on since the time, not that long ago, when European and American negotiators would disappear into a room to talk about a Transatlantic trade deal – and come out again giving virtually no information about what they’d been talking about. These days, most governments try a lot harder to be transparent about their trade objectives, and to give their stakeholders at least some input into the process.

But as the UK government settles into its own post-Brexit trade policy, has it learnt good or bad habits from its neighbours and partners? How is Britain doing in its quest to establish a trade policy which is inclusive? And when our trade diplomats negotiate deals on our behalf – are they truly reflecting our interests and our objectives?

Chris Horseman is joined by Professor L. Alan Winters, Founding Director of the UK Trade Policy Observatory; Ruth Bergan, Senior Advisor at the Trade Justice Movement; and Professor Daniel Wincott, Blackwell Professor of Law and Society at the University of Cardiff.


Episode 5 – Avoiding a Yule log-jam – how to address problems in the supply chain

17 November 2021

Supply chain issues crashed onto the front pages in the UK this year when petrol stations started running out of fuel. But that was just one aspect of a wider problem. A surge in demand for consumer goods has led to soaring shipping costs, with ships queueing up to get into container ports, and mounting concerns as to whether even Santa will be able to get his presents to us in time for Christmas. But we’re also facing shortages of personnel. Goods can’t get from one to place to another if there’s no-one who can drive the lorry, or if there is no-one who is qualified to sign the necessary certificates for the goods on the back of the truck. The pandemic certainly has a lot to answer for. But, as always in trade policy discussions, the extent to which Brexit is exacerbating, underlying or even causing the problems in the UK is a hot topic of debate.

To discuss all this and more, Chris Horseman is joined by Dr Sam Roscoe and Dr Peter Holmes of the UK Trade Policy Observatory, and Harry Holmes, Features Editor at The Grocer.


Episode 4 – Is the relationship still special? UK-US trade in the post-Brexit era

16 July 2021

In this episode, we’re heading stateside as we take a closer look at the trade relationship between the UK and the United States. In one sense, it’s a relationship that only came into existence when Britain finally left the EU customs union at the end of last year. But that belies the fact that the United States is the UK’s biggest single trading partner, and London has duly inherited most of the trade policy issues which previously exercised Washington and Brussels, and for the most part still do. So how are the post-Brexit UK, and the post-Trump US, getting on trade-wise?

Chris Horseman is joined by Peter Holmes, Marianne Petsinger, and Marc Busch.


Episode 3 – An enhanced partnership? Prospects for the UK-India trade relationship

5 July 2021

As the world’s second most populous country, India is an emerging player in global trade, and of course it has deep historical and cultural ties with Britain. In recent times, India has acquired a bit of a reputation as being part of the awkward squad within the international trade community. The received wisdom was that New Delhi wasn’t interested in negotiating trade deals with other countries, or in joining regional trade agreements.

But there are signs that this may be changing. India has sounded enthusiastic about the idea of a trade deal with the UK, perhaps in response to growing fears about the impact of China’s emergence as a trade superpower in the Asian region, or perhaps because it senses opportunities to benefit from Britain’s new status outside of the EU.
So what are the prospects for UK-India trade? What’s India’s game plan, and how likely is it that it will achieve its objectives?

Chris Horseman is joined by Dr Mattia Di Ubaldo, Dr Amrita Saha, and Professor Abhijit Das.


Episode 2 – Not just sausages: Brexit, trade and the Northern Ireland protocol

25 June 2021

Part of the United Kingdom, but effectively within the EU single market, but still part of the UK’s customs territory – you’d be forgiven for feeling a little confused about just how Northern Ireland fits into things these days.

The problem is that if Northern Ireland remains part of the EU single market, then the EU wants to make sure that anything that enters that single market is compliant with its own rules – even if that stuff comes from Great Britain, which is part of the same country as Northern Ireland. All of which creates a very interesting problem – unless of course you are one of the thousands of businesses involved in trying to move goods to and from Northern Ireland, in which case “interesting” is probably not the adjective you’d choose to use. So what are the next steps in the evolving saga? How did we get into this situation, and, more relevantly, how do we find solutions to the current problems?

Chris Horseman is joined by Michael Gasiorek, Katy Hayward and Aodhan Connolly.


Episode 1 – Trade megabytes – the dynamic landscape of digital trade regulation

21 June 2021

Traditional types of trade are regulated by the World Trade Organisation, under rules which mostly date from 1995 – a time when data exchanges were accompanied by the screech of a modem, and were measured in kilobytes. So it’s perhaps not surprising that there are no meaningful global rules in place at the moment to regulate digital trade. But increasingly, as regional trade deals become more common, frameworks are starting to emerge to provide more legal and commercial certainty for those businesses which trade in cyberspace. But what happens when different jurisdictions have rules which aren’t compatible with each other? And how can we be sure that digital trade is regulated in a way which is fair for all?

To discuss all this and more, Chris Horseman is joined by Ingo Borchert, Eunice Huang, and Johannes Fritz. This podcast is co-organised in collaboration with the World Economic Forum’s Global Future Council on Trade and Investment.


Series Two


Episode 10 – Drowning in red tape? UK business, trade and Brexit

30 March 2021

Up until the end of last year, the UK was part of the EU single market, and British traders had enjoyed frictionless trade with Europe for several decades. But all of that has now changed. Customs formalities are a fact of life, with paperwork to be filled in whether you’re sending a lorry load of precision tools to a factory in Germany, or a few jars of Marmite to your auntie on the Costa Del Sol. Add to that the complexities of rules of origin for manufactured and processed goods, and the particularly onerous rules which now apply on EU imports of agri-food products, and life is suddenly looking a lot tougher for UK exporters. But to what extent do these issues represent teething problems which can be overcome in due course? What could or should the government be doing to make life easier for exporting businesses? And how are British firms coping with the new challenges that they face?

Chris Horseman is joined by Michael Gasiorek, Director of the UK Trade Policy Observatory; Anna Jerzewska, Director of the Trade and Borders Consultancy, and Associate Fellow of the UKTPO; and Ian Henry, Owner and Managing Director of AutoAnalysis and Visiting Professor at the Centre for Brexit Studies.


Episode 9 – The new post-Brexit settlement for fisheries

19 March 2021

Disagreements over fisheries nearly sunk last year’s trade negotiations between the UK and the EU. A deal was eventually signed, which repatriated some – but not all – of the fish resources in UK waters back to UK control. However, despite leaving the EU’s Common Fisheries Policy behind, the deal left many in the fishing community somewhat underwhelmed. But what exactly has been agreed? Was it ever realistic to expect a better deal? And were we so preoccupied with establishing our rights to catch fish, that we forgot about the question of how we were going to sell them once they were landed?

To tackle all these questions and more, Chris Horseman is joined by Professor Michael Gasiorek, Director of the UKTPO; Barrie Deas, Chief Executive of the National Federation of Fishermen’s Organisations; and Suzannah Walmsley, Principal Consultant and Fisheries and Aquaculture Business Development Manager at ABPmer.


Episode 8 – Trade with a conscience: Human Rights monitoring in international trade agreements

04 March 2021

In the 21st century, international trade has almost universal scope, and the UK, like other developed countries, trades with pretty much every other country on earth, including those with some pretty repressive regimes in charge. So how can we shape international trade in a way which encourages our trading partners to uphold certain basic standards, and sanctions them effectively if they don’t? And to what extent is it realistic to expect that trade policy could be used as a tool for improving human rights standards in other countries?

In this episode, Chris Horseman is joined by Dr Mattia Di Ubaldo, Fellow of the UK Trade Policy Observatory; Dr Samantha Velluti, Reader at the Sussex Law School, and an expert on EU law and policy; and Dr Jennifer Zerk, Associate Fellow of the International Law Programme at Chatham House.


Episode 7 – Buccaneering Britain: freeports, trade and the UK economy

25 February 2021

The government has promised to create at least 10 freeports up and down the country, as a key strand of its new post-Brexit trade and industrial policy. There has been a bidding process for sea ports and airports to convert to freeport status, with the deadline for bids expiring on February 5th. But what actually is a freeport? What can you do in them that you can’t do in a non-free port? Enthusiasts for the scheme see freeports as a way of stimulating trade by minimising taxes and red tape, and creating employment in deprived coastal areas. Detractors, on the other hand, are less enthusiastic, citing problems which other freeports around the world have faced with smuggling and other nefarious activities. So are freeports a creative answer to the economic challenges of 21st century Britain, or more of a step back into Jack Sparrow territory?

Chris Horseman is joined by Dr Peter Holmes, Fellow of the UKTPO; Edward Farmer, Managing Director of the UK Free Trade Zone Association; and Paul Swinney, Director of Policy and Research at the Centre for Cities


Episode 6 – After the great divorce – the new EU-UK trade relationship

19 January 2021

The UK’s Trade and Cooperation Agreement with the EU came into force on New Year’s Day. Since then, the focus has mainly been on the border issues, with supermarket supplies running short in a few areas, and lorry drivers’ ham sandwiches being confiscated by Dutch customs officials. But while the UK’s Michael Gove always said there would be ‘bumps in the road’ to begin with, where will the TCA deal ultimately lead us? What sort of an agreement is it, and could it yet be improved upon? And what will it mean for UK businesses which have dealings with the EU?

To discuss all this and more, Chris Horseman is joined by Professor L. Alan Winters, Jill Rutter and Iana Dreyer.


Episode 5 – Food standards and Brexit: Digesting the choices that lie ahead

08 December 2020

This episode examines the question of food standards and how they will affect Britain’s post-Brexit international trade. As the UK leaves the EU, will we be diverging from the European food standards that have applied in Britain for the last few decades? What would be the benefit of diverging? What might be the risks of not diverging? And do the Americans really want to poison us as a core objective of their current free trade agreement negotiations – as you might be led to believe from some recent media headlines?

Chris Horseman is joined by Dr Emily Lydgate, David Henig and Professor Fiona Smith.


Episode 4 – The UK Internal Market Bill – avoiding trade anarchy in the UK?

01 December 2020

Since the Brexit referendum, the trade policy focus has been primarily about how UK businesses will trade with their counterparts in the EU and around the world. But what about intra-UK trade? Surely it stands to reason that there won’t be any problem for a business in England to trade with a business in Scotland? However, closer examination shows that when you strip away the legal framework provided by EU membership, and simultaneously devolve regulatory powers to the administrations of Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland, some rather unexpected problems can result. The UK Internal Market Bill, currently making its way through Parliament, forms part of the Government’s response to these challenges. But will it solve the problems, or simply exacerbate them?

To discuss all this and more, Chris Horseman is joined by Dr Emily Lydgate, George Peretz QC and Professor Graeme Roy.


Episode 3 – The trade prescription: securing the UK pharma supply chain in turbulent times

26 August 2020

The UK imports around twenty-five billion pounds’ worth of pharmaceutical products each year from a wide range of supplier countries. Even during the worst phases of this year’s COVID-19 crisis, we have not run short of essential drugs. But how confident can we be that such a disaster would never happen? Are too many of our pharmaceutical eggs in one basket? What role is there for public policy and trade policy in ensuring that our pharma supply strategy is the right one? And how might Brexit complicate things?

Chris Horseman is joined by UKTPO fellow Dr Sam Roscoe and Dr Richard Torbett, chief executive of the Association of the British Pharmaceutical Industry.


Episode 2 – What’s the rush? The pros and cons of extending the post-Brexit transition period

08 June 2020

Britain left the EU on 31 January 2020. But for the time being, hardly anything has changed in terms of the country’s trade with Europe. We’re in a transition period which will run until the end of the year, and during that period the UK needs to negotiate a whole new trading relationship with the EU. But is that period going to be long enough to get everything sorted out? There is an option to extend the transition period, but what difference would that actually make? And how might the COVID-19 pandemic impact on the negotiations?

To explore these questions, Chris Horseman is joined by Peter Holmes and Sam Lowe.


Episode 1 – COVID-19 and global trade – is the system immune to the pandemic?

29 May 2020

COVID-19 has had a profound effect on trade. A global recession is always going to have an impact on trade volumes, but this pandemic has had the effect of completely choking off demand for some goods and services, while pushing demand for others through the roof. And that has posed acute trade policy challenges. Is it ever right to impose controls on exports of sensitive products? Were we naive to put so much faith in global markets and the ability to source the goods and services we need from around the world? And when the pandemic finally starts to ease, what sort of a global trading system will we be left with?

To discuss all this and more, Chris Horseman is joined by Michael Gasiorek, Allie Renison, and Simon Evenett.


Series One


Episode 9 – The Missing 80% – Making Deals on Trade in Services


2 April 2020

Trade in services is generally reckoned to account for about 80% of the UK economy. The UK financial services sector alone makes a contribution to the economy that is worth the equivalent of the entire GDP or Bulgaria and Croatia combined. So why do we hear so little about services in the context of the trade negotiations that are just getting underway with the EU and the US? Is the UK missing a trick?

In the final episode of this series, Chris Horseman is joined by Dr Ingo Borchert, Julia Magntorn Garrett, and Sebastian Benz.


Episode 8 – What’s for sale? The NHS and trade agreements

26 March 2020

For many people, the idea that the National Health Service may be ‘up for sale’ in the UK’s upcoming international trade negotiations is a cause of great anxiety. But what does that phrase even mean? The NHS offers a massive range of services, from brain surgery to cleaning the hospital windows. So if any of these services are subcontracted, who is allowed to bid for them? To what extent do health care services form part of the discussions in international trade negotiations, such as the one the UK has recently commenced with the US? And are there international rules about what can, or should, or may not be on the table?

To get to grips with these important questions, Chris Horseman is joined by Dr Ingo Borchert and Laura Bannister, Senior Adviser at the Trade Justice Movement.


Episode 7 – US-China trade tensions: The threats and opportunities for Europe

19 March 2020

For the past few years, the United States and China have been at each other’s throats, with the Trump administration slapping a series of punitive tariffs on Chinese imports and Beijing responding with its own retaliatory measures. The US accuses China of not playing fair when it comes to global trade. So what is it that China has done to incur the wrath of the White House? What lies behind the tensions between Washington and Beijing? And why should Europe care about what is going on? Are there opportunities that UK businesses could exploit, or will UK exporters just get caught in the crossfire?

To explore the specifics of these trade tensions, Chris Horseman is joined by Jim Rollo and Steven McGuire.


Episode 6 – Open to the world? The UK’s Global Tariff consultation

17 March 2020

Back in early February, the Department for International Trade announced that it was seeking the views of stakeholders on what sort of tariffs the UK should apply on its imports of goods. As an EU member, the UK applied the same tariffs as the rest of the EU, but as from next year it can do what it likes tariff-wise. So is this a chance for ‘Global Britain’ to tear away the protectionist trappings of the EU and embrace the free market at last? Or might Britain’s manufacturing and agricultural industries want to retain some tariff protection against cheaper imports from overseas? And how do UK import tariffs actually affect businesses, consumers and the UK economy?

To offer their views on all this and more, Chris Horseman is joined by Julia Magntorn Garrett, Rodney Ludema, Allie Renison, and Sue Davies.


Episode 5 – Going Truly Global: Britain’s role in the World Trade Organisation


12 March 2020

After almost half a century as an EU member state, the UK is about to become an autonomous member of the World Trade Organisation (WTO). For some, this represents an exciting opportunity. But what is the value of WTO membership? And given the multiple challenges that the rules-based trading system is facing at present, can Britain be a force for good in securing a more reliable trading environment?

To explore all this and more, Chris Horseman is joined by Minako Morita-JaegerPatrick Low and Amar Breckenridge.


Episode 4 – Dude where’s my border? UK, Irish and EU trade post-Brexit

5 March 2020

The question of the Irish border has always been one of the most contentious issues in the Brexit negotiations between the UK and the EU. Boris Johnson has claimed that his Brexit deal is the best of all worlds, maintaining frictionless trade between Northern Ireland and the Republic, and Northern Ireland and the rest of the UK. But is this case? What does the settlement reached in the Brexit Withdrawal Agreement actually mean for trade between Great Britain, Northern Ireland, the Irish Republic and the rest of the EU?

Chris Horseman is joined by Professor L. Alan Winters, Professor Michael Gasiorek, and BBC Northern Ireland’s Business and Economics Editor, John Campbell.


Episode 3 – How will the UK approve future trade agreements?

27 February 2020

Now that the UK has left the European Union, the Government has promised to complete a whole string of Free Trade Agreements with the EU, the United States, and various other trading partners around the world. But is there a catch to doing these negotiations? Are there trade-offs involved – and what are they likely to be? And how easy will it be to work towards a closer trade relationship with the rest of the world, while still in the process of disengaging from the EU?

Chris Horseman is joined by Dr Emily Lydgate, Dr Anna Jerzewska, Maddy Thimont Jack, and Dr Holger Hestermeyer to unravel these complex questions.


Episode 2 – Have we got Brexit done yet? (And if not – what’s left to do?)

20 February 2020

Boris Johnson promised to ‘get Brexit done’ when he won the UK General Election in December 2019 – and on one level he achieved that aim on 31 January. However, there is still much to be decided as the UK begins the process of disengaging from the EU. Can a Free Trade Agreement between the two sides be achieved by the transition deadline of 31 December? What happens if a deal can’t be struck? Does the Brexit cliff-edge loom once more?

Chris Horseman is joined by Peter Holmes, Anand Menon and Fabian Zuleeg to explore what is still on the Brexit agenda in the months and years ahead.


Episode 1 – Testing the Special Relationship: Prospects for a UK-US Trade Deal

13 February 2020

As the UK enters the post-Brexit transition period, Boris Johnson has made clear that a trade deal with the US is as big a priority, if not more so, than a deal with the EU. But are Britain and America natural trade partners? What benefits could a transatlantic trade deal deliver? And what about chlorinated chicken?

To discuss all this and more, Chris Horseman is joined by Professor Michael Gasiorek, Sir Jonathan Faull, Iana Dreyer, and Alan Beattie.


This podcast is brought to you by the UK Trade Policy Observatory, in association with Borderlex.

November 29th, 2019

Posted In:

Download Briefing Paper 24

Briefing Paper 24 – November 2018

Minako Morita-Jaeger and L. Alan Winters

Key points

Introduction

Understanding what services trade liberalisation under FTAs can offer

Why are FTA services negotiations so difficult?

Legal and economic factors affecting FTA services negotiations

The UK’s future FTA services negotiations with non-EU countries

It is unrealistic for the UK to expect better deals than those of the EU

Conclusion

References

Footnotes

Key points

  • Services trade liberalisation commitments in the General Agreement on Trade in Services (GATS) and existing Free Trade Agreements (FTAs) do not go very far, because governments prefer to retain their ‘policy space’, which provides flexibility for changing regulations anytime they want.
  • Services trade negotiations are different from goods trade negotiations because services trade barriers are all about regulations, and these are much more complex than tariffs to negotiate.
  • While FTAs can narrow the ‘policy space’ between the GATS commitments and actual applied policy, they very rarely eliminate it.
  • FTAs in services can provide a greater level of legal certainty to business activities than the GATS can provide. But even achieving this will be a challenge for the UK because it will have such limited bargaining power in any future FTA negotiations. The UK will be an unattractive partner for non-EU countries seeking an FTA because: it cannot offer tariff concessions on goods as it needs to align tariffs with EU levels in order to avoid border controls; it cannot offer much service liberalisation because its market is already de facto pretty open; and UK service providers are mostly highly competitive and thus a threat to local providers.
  • It is unrealistic for the UK to expect to get better deals than the EU from those countries with which the EU has or will have previously concluded an FTA. This is because Most Favoured Nation clauses in many of the EU’s bilateral FTAs require that any concession offered to the UK will have to be automatically extended to the EU, an economy six times larger than the UK.
  • While future FTA services agreements with non-EU countries would be able to assist business activities by ensuring legal certainty (relative having no FTA), there is no way that they will recoup the trade losses which the UK will incur by leaving the EU Single Market for services.

(more…)

November 15th, 2018

Posted In:


Energy Security and Net Zero Committee: Net zero and trade

Written evidence – Emily Lydgate and Sunayana Sasmal (8 May 2024)


Business and Trade Committee: The performance of investment zones and freeports in England

Oral evidence – Peter Holmes (24 October 2023)


European Affairs Committee: The Ukraine Effect: The impact of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine on the UK–EU relationship

Written evidence – Erika Szyszczak (2 October 2023)


International Trade Committee: The future of the global rules-based trading system

Oral evidence – Peter Holmes (1 February 2023)


International Trade Committee: UK trade negotiations (CPTPP accession)

Written evidence – Minako Morita-Jaeger (19 October 2022)


Public Bill Committee: Trade (Australia and New Zealand) Bill

Oral evidence – Michael Gasiorek (14 October 2022)


International Agreements Committee: UK-India free trade agreement

Written evidence – Mattia di Ubaldo, Ingo Borchert and Amrita Saha (15 July 2022)


European Scrutiny Committee: Inquiry on retaining EU law

Written evidence – Chloe Anthony and Emily Lydgate (28 April 2022)


International Agreements Committee: UK-Australia trade negotiations 

Written evidence – Minako Morita-Jaeger (1 April 2022)


International Agreements Committee: UK-New Zealand trade negotiations

Oral evidence – Michael Gasiorek (17 March 2022)


International Trade Committee: Trade and Foreign Policy

Written evidence – L. Alan Winters (2 March 2022)


International Trade Committee: UK-Australia Free Trade Agreement

Oral Evidence – Minako Morita-Jaeger (9 February 2022)


International Trade Committee Inquiry for the UK-Australia FTA

Written evidence from the UK Trade Policy Observatory (UKTPO) (January 2022)


International Agreements Committee: UK-Australia and UK-NZ trade negotiations

Oral Evidence – Emily Lydgate (8 December 2021)


Environmental Audit Committee: Carbon border adjustment mechanism

Written Evidence – Michael Gasiorek and Camilla Jensen (25 November 2021)


House of Lords International Agreement Committee: UK-New Zealand Trade Negotiations

Oral Evidence – Michael Gasiorek (24 November 2021)


Public Administration and Constitutional Affairs Committee: The Scrutiny of International Treaties and other international agreements in the 21st century

Written Evidence – L. Alan Winters, Minako Morita-Jaeger and Chloe Anthony (26 October 2021)


International Trade Committee: COP26 and international trade

Oral Evidence – Emily Lydgate (21 September 2021)


Department for International Trade: Designing the UK trade preferences scheme for developing nations consultation

UKTPO response – Mattia Di Ubaldo and L. Alan Winters (10 September 2021)


Northern Ireland Affairs Committee: Brexit and the Northern Ireland Protocol

Written Evidence – UK Trade Policy Observatory (15 July 2021)


International Trade Committee: UK-EU trading relationship

Oral Evidence – Emily Lydgate (22 April 2021)


International Trade Committee: Digital trade and data

Written Evidence – Ingo Borchert and Minako Morita-Jaeger (24 February 2021)


International Trade Committee: UK trade negotiations: UK Accession to CPTPP

Oral Evidence – Minako Morita-Jaeger (3 February 2021)


House of Lords EU International Agreements Sub-Committee: UK-Canada Trade Continuity Agreement

Written Evidence – UKTPO (27 January 2021)


House of Lords EU International Agreements Sub-Committee: Environment and climate in international trade

Oral Evidence – Emily Lydgate (20 January 2021)


Public Accounts Committee: COVID-19: Government procurement and supply of personal protective equipment

Written Evidence – Ian Clarke and Professor Erika Szyszczak (10 December 2020)


International Trade Committee: The UK-Japan Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA) inquiry

Written Evidence – Minako Morita-Jaeger (18 November 2020)

Oral Evidence – Minako Morita-Jaeger (11 November 2020)


EU International Agreements Sub-Committee: UK-Japan trade negotiations

Written Evidence – Minako Morita Jaeger (19 November 2020)

Oral Evidence – Minako Morita-Jaeger (23 September 2020)


International Trade Committee: The COVID-19 pandemic and international trade

Written Evidence – UKTPO (27 July 2020)

Written Evidence – Erika Szyszczak and Ian Clarke (7 May 2020)

Oral Evidence – Samuel Roscoe (23 April 2020)


House of Lords EU Goods Sub-Committee: Beyond tariffs: facilitating future UK-EU trade in manufactured goods inquiry

Written Evidence – Peter Holmes and Andrew Hood (22 July 2020)

Written Evidence – Michael Gasiorek, Julia Magntorn Garrett, and Anna Jerzewska (23 July 2020)


House of Lords Committee on the Future Relationship with the EU: Progress of the negotiations on the UK’s Future Relationship with the EU

Written Evidence – Minako Morita-Jaeger (14 July 2020)


House of Lords EU Environment Sub-Committee: Environment and the Level Playing Field

Written Evidence – Emily Lydgate (8 July 2020)


House of Lords EU Services Sub-Committee: The future UK-EU relationship on professional and business services

Written Evidence – Julia Magntorn Garrett (2 July 2020)

Written Evidence – UKTPO, City-REDI, The Managing Partners’ Forum (2 July 2020)


Department for International Trade Freeports Consultation

Written Response – Professor L. Alan Winters and Dr Peter Holmes (30 June 2020)


International Trade Committee: UK trade negotiations: trade strategy and scrutiny

Oral Evidence – Peter Holmes (17 June 2020)


Public Bill Committee: Trade Bill (Second sitting)

Oral Evidence – L. Alan Winters (16 June 2020)


EU Energy and Environment Sub-Committee, and EU Environment Sub-Committee: Environment and the Level Playing Field

Oral Evidence – Emily Lydgate (June 2020)


Committee on the Future Relationship with the European Union: Progress of the negotiations on the UK’s Future Relationship with the EU

Written Evidence – Emily Lydgate (10 June 2020)


International Trade Committee: UK Freeports inquiry

Written Evidence – Peter Holmes (5 June 2020)


Welsh Affairs Committee: Inquiry into Freeports

Written Evidence – Professor L. Alan Winters (4 April 2020)


Department for International Trade open consultation on the UK Global Tariff

Written Response – Professor Michael Gasiorek, Julia Magntorn Garrett, Nicolo Tamberi and Professor L. Alan Winters (5 March 2020)


Scottish Parliament: Scotland and the UK Internal Market

Written Evidence – Emily Lydgate and Chloe Anthony (February 2020)


Good Law Project: Proceedings in Scotland to establish that the proposed Withdrawal Agreement is unlawful

Written Evidence – Professor L. Alan Winters (14 November 2019)


International Trade Committee: UK trade with China inquiry

Written Evidence – Dr Peter Holmes, Mrs Julia Magntorn Garrett and Professor Jim Rollo (16 October 2019)


EU Internal Market Sub-Committee: Discontinuing seasonal changes of time inquiry

Written Evidence – Dr Mattia Di Ubaldo (12 September 2019)


International Trade Committee: UK trade in services inquiry

Oral Evidence – Dr Kamala Dawar (26 June 2019)


Exiting the European Union Committee: The progress of the UK’s negotiations on EU withdrawal inquiry

Oral Evidence – Dr Emily Lydgate (15 May 2019)


International Trade Committee: UK trade in services inquiry 

Written Evidence -Ingo Borchert, Peter Holmes, Prof. Jim Rollo and Prof. L. Alan Winters (13 February 2019)


Welsh Affairs Committee. Brexit, trade and customs: implications for Wales inquiry

Oral Evidence – L. Alan Winters (5 February 2019)


International Trade Committee: UK investment policy inquiry

Oral Evidence – Ilona Serwicka (23 January 2019)


Response to the Department for International Trade Consultation on Trade with the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership, and Trade with Australia and New Zealand (25 October 2018)

Response to the Department for International Trade Consultation on UK Trade with the United States (25 October 2018)


International Trade Committee: The Impact of UK-EU Arrangements on Wider UK Trade Policy

Oral Evidence – Dr Emily Lydgate, Dr Michael Gasiorek, Dr Peter Holmes (12 September 2018)


House of Lords EU External Affairs Sub-committee. Brexit: customs arrangements inquiry

Written Evidence – Dr Peter Holmes (24 May 2018)


EU Energy and Environment Sub-Committee. Brexit: plant and animal biosecurity inquiry

Oral Evidence – Dr Emily Lydgate (25 April 2018)

Written Evidence – Dr Emily Lydgate and Dr Rob Amos (9 May 2018)


International Trade Committee. The economic effects of trade policy inquiry

Oral Evidence – Prof Alasdair Smith (24 April 2018)

Written Evidence – Prof Alasdair Smith (23 May 2018)


EU Energy and Environment Sub-Committee. Brexit: food security inquiry

Written evidence – Dr Ilona Serwicka (14 March 2018)


Trade Bill 2017 – 19

Written evidence – Prof L. Alan Winters (25th January 2018)

Written evidence – Dr Kamala Dawar (24th January 2018)


Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy Committee. Leaving the EU: Implications for UK Business

Oral evidence – Emily Lydgate (Published 31 January 2018)


Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy Committee. Inquiry into Brexit and the implications for UK business

Response to Aerospace inquiry – UKTPO (BRS0005, 15 November 2017)

Response to Automotive inquiry – UKTPO (BRA0015, 7 November 2017)


Response to UK Government’s Trade White Paper and Customs Bill (6 November 2017)


House of Lords EU Select Committee. Inquiry into Brexit: deal or no deal

Written evidence – UKTPO (DND0033, 02 November 2017)


Exiting the European Union Committee. The European Union (Withdrawal) Bill inquiry

Oral evidence – Dr Kamala Dawar (17 October 2017)


Trade Sub-Committee of the Australian Parliament’s Joint Standing Committee on Foreign Affairs, Defence and Trade. Inquiry into ‘Australia’s trade and investment relationship with the United Kingdom’

Written evidence – UKTPO (no. 48, March 2017)


House of Commons Exiting the European Union Committee. Inquiry on the UK’s negotiating objectives for its withdrawal from the EU

Oral evidence – Prof Jim Rollo (21 February 2017) and Written evidence – UKTPO (21 February 2017)


Treasury Committee. Inquiry into UK’s future economic relationship with the EU inquiry

Written evidence – UKTPO (22 February 2017)

Written evidence – UKTPO (17 December 2017)


House of Commons International Trade Committee. Inquiry into the UK’s trade options beyond 2019

Oral evidence – Prof L. Alan Winters (10 Jan 2017) and  Written evidence – UKTPO (17 January 2017)


House of Lords EU External Affairs Sub-Committee. Inquiry into Brexit: future trade between the UK and the EU

Oral Evidence – Dr Peter Holmes (15 Sept 2016) and Written Evidence – Dr Peter Holmes (published 25 Oct 2016)

October 3rd, 2017

Posted In:

UKTPO Fifth Annual Conference: Trade Policy and Sustainable Futures

Friday 2nd December 2022

Chatham House, St James’s Square, London

In-person only event.

Please register here.

We have seen significant economic and political shifts in recent years with the Covid-19 pandemic, the escalating climate crisis, the disruptions caused by Brexit in Europe as well as the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war continuing to change the global economic and political order. These shifts provide an impetus and opportunity to open new and old debates about the role of international trade. This interdisciplinary conference seeks to bring together economists, lawyers, political scientists, international relations scholars, and policy experts to consider some of the core emerging issues, as well as the latest evidence and thinking on the consequences for sustainable international trade, and trade policy.

PROGRAMME

  • 9.15 – 9.45 Registration & Coffee (30 minutes)
  • 9.45 – 10.00 Welcome and introduction (10 minutes) – Emily Lydgate (UK Trade Policy Observatory/University of Sussex)

10.00-11.00 – Session 1: Post-Brexit trade – Chair: Camilla Jensen (UK Trade Policy Observatory, University of Sussex and Roskilde University)

  • 10.00 – 10.20 UK Trade in the Wake of Brexit – Thomas Sampson (London School of Economics and Political Science)
  • 10.20 – 10.40 The Welfare Effects of Leaving the EU – Nicolo Tamberi (UK Trade Policy Observatory/University of Sussex)
  • 10.40 – 11.00 Q&A

11.00 – 11.30 – Coffee Break

11.30-12.30 – Session 2: Climate and Trade – Chair: Alasdair Smith (UK Trade Policy Observatory/University of Sussex)

  • 11.30 – 11.50 From unilateral carbon border measures to plurilateral arrangements: the road towards climate clubs – Giulia Claudia Leonelli (Birkbeck, University of London)
  • 11.50 – 12.10 Alternative carbon border adjustment mechanisms in the European Union and international responses: aggregate and within-coalition results – Wusheng Yu and Francesco Clora (University of Copenhagen)
  • 12.10 – 12.30 Q&A

12.30 – 13.30 – Lunch

13.30-15.00 – Session 3: Digital Trade – Chair: Ingo Borchert (UK Trade Policy Observatory/University of Sussex)

  • 13.30 – 13.50 Of Bytes and Trade: quantifying the impact of digitalisation on trade – Javier Lopez Gonzalez (OECD)
  • 13.50 – 14.10 The UK’s joining the CPTPP and digital trade policy – Towards accommodations and conflicts? – Minako Morita-Jaeger (UK Trade Policy Observatory/University of Sussex)
  • 14.10 – 14.30 Wicked Problems Might Inspire Greater Data Sharing – Susan Ariel Aaronson (George Washington University, US)
  • 14.30 – 15.00 Q&A

15.00 – 15.30 – Coffee Break

15.30-16.30 – Session 4: Sustainable Trade – Chair: Amrita Saha (Institute of Development Studies)

  • 15.30 – 15.50 Supporting sustainability in agri-food production in Vietnam: FTAs, regulation or voluntary standards? – Camille Vallier (UK Trade Policy Observatory/University of Sussex)
  • 15.50 – 16.10 The Effect of SDG-related Provisions in PTAs on SDGs – Ruby Acquah and Mattia di Ubaldo (UK Trade Policy Observatory/University of Sussex)
  • 16.10 – 16.30 Q&A

16.30-17.15 ROUNDTABLE: What role for FTAs in trade policy? – Chair: Michael Gasiorek (UK Trade Policy Observatory/University of Sussex). Panel: Emily Lydgate (UK Trade Policy Observatory), David Henig (European Centre for International Political Economy), Ian Shepherd (Department for International Trade, UK Government)

View our full conference programme here.

Supply Chain Resilience: The dangers of ‘pick n mix’

Tuesday 28th June 2022, 12:30-13:30 GMT

In-person only event

Chatham House, St James’s Square, London

Please register here

The scope and fragility of supply chains in international trade have come under scrutiny. The COVID-19 pandemic and disruptions from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine have raised concerns over the resilience of supply chains, whereas environmental problems highlight the need for sustainable supply chains.

Geopolitical shocks, the digitization of processes in supply chain management, and an increasing public concern about the distributional impact of trade and globalization add further complexity to the discussion of what supply chains could or should look like. Policymakers feel the need to design regulatory responses to these challenges, yet there is a danger that governments may take an inappropriate ‘pick ‘n’ mix’ approach to policies. In particular, the pretext of supply chain resilience could be used as a get-out clause for a wide range of industrial policy interventions.

This event draws on insights from a Briefing Paper and will discuss ways to achieve more international cooperation and coordination, so as to address supply chain vulnerabilities and avoid disguised protectionism. Held under the Chatham House Rule, this event will be in-person only and will not be recorded to encourage as free and open an exchange of ideas as possible.

Please register here

University of Sussex will use your registration data in accordance with its privacy policy which can be found here: https://www.sussex.ac.uk/about/website/privacy-and-cookies/privacy . University of Sussex will share your name, job title, organization name and email address with Chatham House, who will use your details in line with its privacy policy which can be found here: https://www.chathamhouse.org/privacy-and-cookie-policies.

Presenters:
Camilla Jensen, Senior Research Fellow, UKTPO

Chair:
Ingo Borchert, Deputy Director, UKTPO

Discussant:

Marianne Schneider-Petsinger, Senior Research Fellow, Chatham House

Trade impacts post Brexit

Zoom Webinar

Thursday 18 November 2021 | 10:00 – 11:00 GMT

This webinar will consider how the implementation of the Trade and Cooperation Agreement (TCA) between the UK and EU has impacted on UK businesses. William Bain will discuss feedback from BCC members as to how they have been affected; Anna Jerzewska will share her insights from offering detailed advice to companies dealing with the new trading arrangements, and Michael Gasiorek will present analysis based on the most up-to-date data of the impact on UK exports and imports since January 2021. Understanding the impacts of the TCA is important in its own right, but also in the face of the ongoing dispute over the Northern Ireland Protocol and the potential suspension of some or all of the TCA should the dispute escalate.

Presenters:
Michael Gasiorek, Director of the UK Trade Policy Observatory, University of Sussex
William Bain, Head of Trade Policy, British Chambers of Commerce
Anna Jerzewska, Director of Trade and Borders Consultancy and an Associate Fellow of the UKTPO

Chair:
Mattia Di Ubaldo, Research Fellow in the Economics of the European Trade Policy, University of Sussex and Fellow of the UKTPO

UKTPO fourth annual conference: Inclusive Trade Policy

Zoom Webinar

Tuesday 2 November 2021 | 13:00 – 17:30 GMT
and
Wednesday 3 November 2021 | 13:00-17:30 GMT

View the full programme here

Our conference this year is explicitly intended to be interdisciplinary with an exciting mix of papers from the fields of economics, law and international business with a range of excellent speakers and discussants. See below for the provisional programme.

Day 1, Tuesday 2 November 2021

Time Session Presenter Discussant
13.00 – 13.15 Welcome and Introduction: Michael Gasiorek
Director, UKTPO
13.15 – 13.55
Consolidation or fragmentation of executive power? Brexit, food law and the UK’s search for a post-EU identity
Emily Lydgate & Chloe Anthony (Sussex) Viviane Gravey (QUB)
14.00 – 14.40 UK financial agricultural support after EU exit – what powers for the devolved administrations? Ludivine Petetin (Cardiff) tbc
Break
14.50 -15.30 Globalisation and Market Power Giammario Impulitti & Fahad Kazmi (Nottingham) Dennis Novy (Warwick)
15.35 – 16.15 Impact of the EU-UK TCA on UK trade & UK regions Michael Gasiorek & Nicolo Tamberi (Sussex) Thomas Sampson (LSE)
Break
16.25 – 17.05 Deep services agreements and their effect on trade and VA Ingo Borchert & Mattia di Ubaldo (Sussex) Lucian Cernat (EU Commission)
17.10 – 17.20 Concluding remarks Emily Lydgate, Deputy Director, UKTPO

Day 2, Wednesday 3 November 2021

13.00 – 13.05 Welcome and introduction Ingo Borchert, Deputy Director, UKTPO
13.05 – 13.45 Non-trade issues in PTAs and FDI Mattia di Ubaldo & Michael Gasiorek (Sussex) Max Mendez Parra (ODI)
13.50 – 14.30 FDI, Value Chains and Local Economic Development in Africa Bernard Hoekman & Marco Sanfilippo (EUI) Cosimo Beverelli (WTO)
Break
14.45 – 15.25 Identifying emergent supply chain logics during disruptive geopolitical events: A study of Brexit, the US-China trade war and COVID-19 Sam Roscoe (Sussex) Sam Lowe (CER)
15.30 – 16.10 Ensuring more inclusive trade – the case of labour standards in the global garment supply chain in times of Covid-19 Samantha Velluti (Sussex) James Harrison (Warwick)
Break
16.20 – 17.20 Roundtable: What does an inclusive trade policy mean and how to achieve it? Chair: Michael Gasiorek (Sussex)
Panel: L. Alan Winters (Sussex)
Dan Wincott (Cardiff)

Richard Price (Dep’t for International Trade)

Ruth Bergan (Trade Justice Movement)

17:20-17:30 Closing Remarks Michael Gasiorek, Director, UKTPO

See the full programme here

We very much hope you will be able to join us.
For those of you who cannot attend and are interested in any of the sessions, we will be recording the webinars and will send out links to those on our mailing list.  The panel discussion will not be recorded and will be held under Chatham House rule.

Consolidation or fragmentation of executive power? Brexit, food law and the UK’s search for a post-EU identity

UK financial agricultural support after EU exit – what powers for the devolved administrations?

Globalisation and market power

Impact of the EU-UK Trade & Cooperation Agreement on UK trade and UK regions

Deep services agreements and their effect on trade and value-added

Non-trade issues in preferential trade agreements and foreign direct investment

Foreign direct investment, value chains and local economic development in Africa

Identifying emergent supply chain logics during disruptive geopolitical events: A study of Brexit, the US-China trade war and COVID-19

Ensuring more inclusive trade – the case of labour standards in the global garment supply chain in times of COVID-19

Towards a comprehensive UK Green Trade Strategy

Zoom webinar

Wednesday 20 October

9:30 – 10:30 BST

Speakers:
Sam Lowe, Senior Research Fellow at the Centre for European Reform
George Riddell, Director of Trade Strategy, EY, London

Discussant:
Emily Lydgate, Reader in Law, Deputy Director, UKTPO, University of Sussex

Chair
Creon Butler, Director, Global Economy and Finance Programme, Chatham House

In this webinar, Sam Lowe and George Riddell identify the trade tools the UK government could use to support its green ambitions in its independent trade policy.

The report focuses of four key areas:

  • International trade negotiations and cooperation;
  • Unilateral actions;
  • Decarbonising and greening international trade and supply chains; and
  • Government incentives to support a green trade strategy.

The authors set out a toolbox of the trade and regulatory policy areas that the UK should be engaging with and utilising in the development of its green trade strategy. However, they also argue that the UK cannot achieve its stated aim to be a global leader on green trade without cooperation of the entire UK Government as well as trading partners, international organisations, businesses, consumer groups and civil society.

The UK’s strategic choice to accede to CPTPP

Zoom Webinar

Thursday 16 September 2021

12:30 – 13:30 BST

Register here

Speakers:

  • Emily Lydgate, Senior Lecturer in Law, Deputy Director, UKTPO, University of Sussex
  • Minako Morita Jaeger, Policy Research Fellow, UKTPO; Senior Research Fellow in International Trade, University of Sussex

Discussant:
David Henig, Director, the UK Trade Policy Project, European Centre for International Political Economy (ECIPE)

Chair:
Michael Gasiorek, Professor of Economics, Director, UKTPO, University of Sussex

The UK’s free trade agreements are currently being pitched as win-win, but trade-offs are involved. Regulatory principles in any free trade agreement can constrain domestic policy and impact on domestic outcomes, which may impact on what can subsequently be agreed to with other partners in future FTAs.

In this event we discuss the UK’s strategic choice to accede to CPTPP as part of a larger symbolic move away from the EU and its regulatory model. We examine the implications for domestic regulatory strategy and the UK’s future FTA negotiations, with regards to food standards, and data privacy. There are clear consequences for domestic outcomes and how they align with domestic objectives, which, in turn requires greater clarity and transparency about domestic objectives from the UK government.

This event will be a discussion of two recently published UKTPO Briefing Papers:

Register here

From Trade to Trust: A Different Approach to the Free Flow of Data Across Borders

Zoom Webinar

Wednesday 23 June 2021

16:00 – 17:00 BST

Register here

Speaker:

  • Susan Ariel Aaronson, Research Professor and Director of the Digital Trade and Data Governance Hub at George Washington University and Senior Fellow at the Centre for International Governance Innovation

Discussant:

  • Nicolás Schubert, Senior Policy Adviser, Digital Economy, Undersecretariat of International Economic Affairs, Chile

Moderator:

Every time we go online, we are taking a leap of faith as we trust that the firms that provide us with goods and services will also protect our personal data. However, as the proliferation of cybercrime and hacks demonstrates, the internet was not designed to sustain trust.

Policymakers have long been trying to negotiate a common and suitable approach to govern cross-border data flows.  Yet the ensuing e-commerce/digital trade agreements generally share several elements that make it difficult to effectively enforce public policy goals across different jurisdictions, raise compliance costs for business, and are unlikely to build user trust.

Prof Susan Aaronson will argue that trade policymakers must pay closer attention to users’ concerns if they truly want to achieve “data free flow with trust.”  She will specifically discuss the cases of internet shutdowns and the spread of disinformation, and will make several suggestions for improving international data governance. Nicolás Schubert will offer comments from his distinguished career as a trade negotiator and lawyer.  Participants will have the opportunity to ask questions.

Please register here

Towards a transatlantic climate alliance? The challenges and opportunities of Border Carbon Adjustment

Zoom Webinar

Monday 7 June 2021

12:30 – 13:30 BST

With record carbon prices causing EU industry outcry, the EU Parliament has recently voted to extend EU pricing to imported products through a so-called Border Carbon Adjustment (BCA). The UK, Canada and US are also understood to be among other countries considering some form of BCAs or related border measures.

In the lead-up to the G7, where Boris Johnson has suggested BCAs may feature on the agenda, this webinar will focus on what is driving the interest in BCAs and significant outstanding questions about how BCAs could be designed and applied. It will also explore questions around the potential consequences of BCAs, for climate and for trade goals, and for international cooperation on both fronts.

With respect to design, BCA presents a policy trilemma between the goals of environmental ambition, technical feasibility and fairness. This trilemma means that there is likely to be no perfect solution for BCA design, but rather trade-offs between goals.

The upcoming G7 and COP, both hosted by the UK, could provide an opportunity to make progress on important questions about international cooperation on BCAs. But there are also significant risks if the topic is mishandled. These questions include: what implications BCAs will have for trading partners, including developing countries? What kinds of transition mechanisms, exemptions or complementary cooperation are needed? How much are BCAs likely to lever or incentivize climate action and in which sectors and economies? And, how could the focus on BCAs influence international trade cooperation more broadly, including on environmental topics and at the WTO?

Chair: 

Creon Butler, Research Director, Trade, Investment and New Governance Models; Director, Global Economy and Finance Programme, Chatham House

Presentation:

Emily Lydgate, Senior Lecturer in Environmental Law at the University of Sussex; Deputy Director of the UK Trade Policy Observatory

Discussants:

Carolyn Deere Birkbeck, Associate Fellow, Chatham House; Director, Forum on Trade, Environment & the SDGs, Graduate Institute of International and Development Studies

Michael Gasiorek, Professor of Economics at the University of Sussex; Director of the UK Trade Policy Observatory

To be followed by Q&A with the audience.

Rules of Origin – The Practicalities

Zoom Webinar

Tuesday 19 January 2021

12:30 – 13:30 GMT

This event is focused on ‘Rules of Origin’ and will look at the practicalities and applications for importers and exporters brought to bear by the new UK-EU Trade Deal. Due to limited places and high demand for the previous event we advise early booking to avoid disappointment.

Chair:
James Martin, Director of Policy, British Chambers of Commerce.

Speakers:
Professor Michael Gasiorek, Director of the UK Trade Policy Observatory
Dr Anna Jerzewska, Director, Trade and Borders Consultancy
Paul Wrighting, Trade Training Manager, British Chambers of Commerce.

The Future of UK-EU Trade Relations

Zoom Webinar

Thursday 7 January 2021
14:00 – 15:30 GMT

On the 30 December 2020 at the end of the EU Transition Period, the UK and EU signed a crucial Trade and Cooperation Agreement.

This interactive and engaging webinar will explore what has been agreed, to what extent have the UK’s negotiating objectives been realised, and will discuss the implications for the economy, for businesses and for people going forward.

The event is being held as a joint webinar with the UK Trade Policy Observatory (UKTPO) and will be chaired by Prof. Michael Gasiorek, Director of the UKTPO. He will be joined by:

  • Prof. L. Alan Winters, Founding Director of the UKTPO
  • Suren Thiru, Head of Economics, British Chambers of Commerce
  • Dr Anna Jerzewska, Director, Trade and Borders Consultancy

The UK-Japan Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement: Lessons for the UK’s future trade agreements

Zoom Webinar

Wednesday 16 December 2020
9:30am – 10:30am GMT

Register here

Our latest Briefing Paper, “The UK-Japan Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement: Lessons for the UK’s future trade agreements,” provides an analysis of this new agreement in relation to the Japan-EU EPA and draws two major lessons for the UK’s future free trade agreements.  First, the authors find that it mostly replicates the Japan-EU EPA, with the UK failing to break new ground after independence from the EU trade regime. Second, in terms of institutions, substantive and inclusive policy discussions with a range of stakeholders need to take place to enable public scrutiny and discussion of the implications of potential positions, before negotiating with trade partners.

Speakers:
Minako Morita Jaeger,
Fellow, UKTPO, University of Sussex
Yohannes Ayele, Research Fellow, UKTPO, University of Sussex

Discussant:
Mr Hiroshi Matsuura
, Envoy Extraordinary and Minister Plenipotentiary at the Japanese Embassy in the UK

Chair:
Michael Gasiorek, Director, UKTPO, University of Sussex

Please register here

The Great Lockdown: Dissecting the Economic Effects

Zoom Webinar

Thursday 19 November 2020
Time: 14:30 – 15:30 GMT

Register here

To contain the COVID-19 pandemic and protect susceptible populations, most countries imposed stringent lockdown measures in the first half of 2020. Meanwhile, economic activity contracted dramatically on a global scale. In this webinar, Francesco Grigoli will present research from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) that dissects the nature of the economic crisis in the first seven months of the pandemic. He will examine the economic impacts of lockdowns and voluntary social distancing, and consider the uneven effects of lockdown measures, which are found to have a larger impact on the mobility of women and younger cohorts. The webinar will conclude with a discussion and Q&A.

  • Speaker: Francesco Grigoli, Economist in the World Economic Studies Division of the International Monetary Fund’s Research Department and an adjunct professor at Georgetown University
  • Chair: Michael Gasiorek, Professor of Economics and Director of the UK Trade Policy Observatory at the University of Sussex
  • Discussant: L. Alan Winters, Professor of Economics and Founding Director of the UK Trade Policy Observatory.

Register here

Have I got trade news for you – fun quiz!

Interactive Quiz on Zoom

Tuesday 10 November 2020
Time 17:00 – 18:00 GMT

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Trade has shaped society for centuries and continues to do so. It’s not just important for prosperity and economic growth, but how we relate to others and what impact we have on the world around us.

Our interactive fun quiz, hosted by a Professor and student of economics at the University of Sussex will help you to find out how trade and trade policy affect your future prospects, the wider economy, environment and international relations.

You will also get a chance to win either a £100 voucher or one of two £50 vouchers just for turning up and joining in!

This quiz is for young people (you can also be young at heart!) with an interest in what is going on in the world at the moment. It will focus on some of the challenges we are now facing, such as: on-going technological change, the UK leaving the EU, Covid-19, and the green agenda to name a few.

Join in, find out more and get a chance to win!

Winners will be announced on 11th November via UKTPO’s Twitter: @UK_TPO

Register here

Developing country trade after Brexit:  how will the UK’s tariff plans affect access?

Zoom Webinar

Thursday 15 October 2020
Time: 12:30 – 13:30

A expert panel discussion on joint analysis of new tariff agreements by the UK Trade Policy Observatory (UKTPO), the Overseas Development Institute (ODI) and the Center for Global Development (CGD.

Chair:

  • Ian Mitchell, Co-Director of Development Cooperation in Europe and Senior Policy Fellow

Presenters:

  • Mohammed A. Razzaque, Research Director, Policy Research Institute of Bangladesh
  • Emily Jones, Director of Global Economic Governance Programme, University of Oxford
  • Mattia di Ubaldo, Research Fellow, UKTPO, University of Sussex

UKTPO Third Annual Conference: World Trade Policy: Back to the Future?

Tuesday 15 September | 14:00 – 17:00 BST

Wednesday 16 September | 14:00-17:00 BST

Download the conference programme for more details.

Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, this year’s conference was held virtually in the form of two webinars.

There were four presentations and two roundtable discussions over the course of two afternoons. Catch up on the sessions below:

Tuesday 15 September

Session One: Firm Export Responses to Tariff Hikes

Presenter: Facundo Albornoz Crespo, University of Nottingham

Discussant: Ingo Borchert, University of Sussex and UKTPO

Chair: Michael Gasiorek, University of Sussex and UKTPO


Session Two: Dynamic benchmarking: foundation for a new generation of Trade, Environment and Climate Agreements?

Presenter: Emily Lydgate, University of Sussex and UKTPO

Discussant: Stephanie Switzer, Strathclyde Law School

Chair: Femi Amao, University of Sussex


Session Three: Chatham House Special Session – Trade and Climate Change in the context of COP26

Panellists: Jodie Keane, Overseas Development Institute; Rohinton P. Medhora, Centre for International Governance Innovation

Chair: Creon Butler, Chatham House


Wednesday 16 September

Session Four: Impact of Brexit Uncertainty on UK trade after the Referendum

Presenter: Michael Gasiorek, University of Sussex and UKTPO

Discussant: Bernard Hoekman, European University Institute

Chair: Ingo Borchert, University of Sussex and UKTPO


Session Five: The political economy of protection in GVCs: Evidence from Chinese micro data

Presenter: Anna Maria Mayda, Georgetown University

Discussant: Mattia Di Ubaldo, University of Sussex and UKTPO

Chair: Alasdair Smith, University of Sussex and UKTPO


Session Six: Roundtable DiscussionTrade and Economic Cohesion after Brexit

Panellists:
Dr Katy Hayward, Queen’s University Belfast
Professor Anand Menon, King’s College London
Professor Graeme Roy, University of Strathclyde and Fraser of Allander Institute
Dr Thomas Sampson, London School of Economics

Chair: Professor L. Alan Winters, CB, Director, UKTPO, University of Sussex


Conclusion: Tribute to L. Alan Winters and the Future of UKTPO

Download the conference programme for more details

Webinar: A net-zero emissions trade policy? Reflections on reconciling UK trade and climate ambitions

Wednesday 9 September | 09:30 – 10:30 BST

As well as being the first major economy to commit to a net-zero emissions by 2050 climate target, the UK also has ambitious trade policy goals of providing multilateral leadership and concluding major new trade agreements. In this event, we examine the UK policies required to achieve net-zero and how they can be integrated into UK trade strategy, and consider wider implications of net-zero targets for the international trade system.
Speaker: Dr Emily Lydgate, Senior Lecturer in Law; Fellow, UKTPO, University of Sussex
Discussant: Professor Andy Jordan, Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, University of East Anglia
Chair: Professor Jim Rollo, Fellow, UKTPO, University of Sussex

Register here

Webinar: UK-EU Free Trade Agreement: Please, Sir, I Want Some More

Wednesday 8 July | 13:30 – 14:30 BST

The UK’s draft text for the Free Trade Agreement with the EU indicates a vision of where the Government wishes to take the UK’s trade relationship with the EU. In some areas, the UK is unwilling to agree such deep integration as the Political Declaration foresaw and which the EU is seeking. However, in other areas, the UK is asking for more integration than the EU ordinarily offers partners in simple FTAs. The speakers will present and discuss the details of these extensions and the implications for the negotiation process.

Chair:

  • L. Alan Winters, Director, UK Trade Policy Observatory; Professor of Economics, University of Sussex

Speakers:

  • Peter Holmes, Reader in Economics, University of Sussex; Fellow, UKTPO
  • Julia Magntorn Garrett, Research Officer, UKTPO, University of Sussex
  • Sam Lowe, Senior Research Fellow, Centre for European Reform

Please Register Here

Webinar: Improving the Flow of Medical Supplies – the Contribution of Trade Policy

Monday 29 June 2020 | 16:00 BST (17:00 CET; 11:00 EST)

As nations scrambled this year to source medical supplies – equipment, drugs and personal protective equipment – 89 governments imposed 154 restrictions on exports and 104 governments introduced 154 reforms easing imports. In addition, there is increasing talk about reshoring production or moving it closer to home. This is not the way to increase global supplies of necessary goods, nor to ensure their equitable distribution.

This panel of experts from academia and a representative from the medical supplies sector will discuss how trade in medicines and medical supplies can be facilitated, and how trade policy can contribute to public health. The panel will discuss the possibilities of linking import liberalization measures, such as tariff cuts, with constraints on export restrictions of medical supplies, including expanding the coverage and membership of the WTO Pharmaceutical Agreement.

Introduced by:

  • L. Alan Winters, Director, UK Trade Policy Observatory, Professor of Economics, University of Sussex

Speakers:

  • Simon Evenett, Professor of International Trade and Economic Development, University of St. Gallen, Founder and Director of Global Trade Alert
  • Trevor Gunn, Vice President International Relations, Medtronic
  • Henrik Isakson, Director, Trade Policy, Confederation of Swedish Enterprise

Book your place here

Joint UKTPO / Chatham House webinar series: COVID-19 and Global Trade

May 2020

The unprecedented economic crisis triggered by the outbreak of Covid-19 is already having dramatic effects on world trade and appears very likely to trigger lasting changes to the world trading system, regardless of how the next phase of “opening up” from lock downs progresses.

Against this background the Global Economy and Finance Programme at Chatham House and the UK Trade Policy Observatory at University of Sussex co-hosted a series of three virtual expert round tables in May which will explore how world trade and the world trading system are likely to be changed by the crisis in both the short- and longer- term.

The impact of COVID-19 on global trade so far

Tuesday, 12 May 2020 | 09.30 – 10.30 BST

  • Simon Evenett, Professor of International Trade and Economic Development at the University of St. Gallen, and Co-Director of the CEPR Programme on International Trade and Regional Economics.
  • Allie Renison, Head of EU and Trade Policy, Institute of Directors (IoD).
  • Chair: Creon Butler, Director, Global Economy and Finance Programme, Chatham House.

What could COVID-19 mean for the global trading system?

Monday, 18 May 2020 | 12.00-13.00 BST

  • Gabriel Siles-Brugge, Associate Professor in Public Policy and Director of Graduate Studies in the Department of Politics and International Studies, University of Warwick.
  • Alan Beattie, Associate Fellow, Global Economy and Finance Programme, and world trade editor of the Financial Times.
  • Beatrice Kilroy- Nolan, Partner, Flint Global.
  • Chair: Michael Gasiorek, Professor of Economics, University of Sussex.

What will COVID-19 mean for the participation of developing countries in the global trading system in the short and long run?

Friday, 29 May 2020 | 12.00-13.00 BST

  • Amrita Bahri, Assistant Professor of Law, ITAM; Co-Chair for Mexico, WTO Chair Program; International Trade Centre.
  • L. Alan Winters, Professor of Economics and Director of the UK Trade Policy Observatory, University of Sussex.
  • Maximiliano Mendez-Parra, Senior Research Fellow, Overseas Development Institute (ODI).
  • Chair: Bernard Hoekman, Professor and Director, Global Economics, Robert Schuman Centre for Advanced Studies, University of Florence.

Cancelled – The UK Global Tariff  – Cancelled

Our apologies for any inconvenience caused, but we believe, that in light of the Coronavirus pandemic, it will be safer for everyone if we cancel this event.

Date: Wednesday 18 March 2020

Time: 09:00 – 10:00

Venue: Chatham House, St James’s Square, London, SW1Y4LE

The UK government’s public consultation on tariffs closes on 5 March. This meeting will discuss the proposals floated in the consultation document and consider their effects on tariff and protection levels, prices and variety. It will also place tariff policy in the wider context of trade policy, including the UK’s future trading relationship with the EU and the USA.

Speakers
Michael Gasiorek, Professor of Economics, UKTPO Fellow, University of Sussex; Director, Interanalysis
Julia Magntorn Garrett, Research Officer, UKTPO, University of Sussex

Discussants
Allie Renison, Head of Europe and Trade Policy at the Institute of Directors
Maximiliano Mendez-Parra, Senior Research Fellow, Overseas Development Institute

Chair
Professor Jim Rollo, Associate Fellow, Global Economy and Finance Department, Chatham House; Deputy Director, UK Trade Policy Observatory.

What party manifestos in the 2019 General Election imply for future UK trade

Date: Wednesday 4 December 2019

Time: 12:30 – 13:30

Venue: Chatham House, St James’s Square, London, SW1Y4LE

Please register to attend

This general election is very much due to Brexit – or rather the failure of getting a deal through Parliament. Whoever wins the election will have little time to get their strategy for Brexit up and running to meet the latest Brexit deadline of 31 January 2020. So what are the parties policies for the UK’s future trade?

This event will present and discuss what the five main parties’ manifestos imply for future UK trade. Each manifesto will be presented and analysed by a UKTPO fellow, all to be followed by a Q&A session.

Speakers
Michael Gasiorek, Professor of Economics, University of Sussex; Director, Interanalysis; Fellow, UKTPO
Julia Magntorn Garrett, Research Officer, UKTPO, University of Sussex
Prof Jim Rollo, Deputy Director, UKTPO; Associate Fellow, Chatham House
Nicolo Tamberi, Research Officer in the Economics of Brexit, University of Sussex
L. Alan Winters, Professor of Economics, Director, UKTPO, University of Sussex

Please register to attend

Life after Brexit

Date: Thursday 7 November 2019

Time: 17:00 – 20:00

Venue: Upstairs at the Grand Central Pub (opposite Brighton Station), 29-30 Surrey St, Brighton, BN1 3PA

At the moment, uncertainty seems to be the only certainty with Brexit, especially now with a General Election looming. If you want to know more about how the different Brexit options could affect you and your family – from the food on your plate, your job security, business regulations and so much more – just come along and ask our experts.

We will welcome you with a glass of wine and some nibbles as you settle down to listen to short interviews with our UKTPO experts. You will also have the opportunity to ask, and get impartial answers to your questions about the impact of Brexit on your life.

We will run a rolling programme, so just pitch up and stay for as long as you wish!

This event is part of the Economic & Social Research Council’s Festival of Social Science

UKTPO Conference: New Dimensions in Trade Law

Date: Wednesday 6 November 2019

Time: 09:30 – 16:20

Venue: Chatham House, St James’s Square, London, SW1Y4LE

Please register here

We are delighted to invite you to our second annual UK Trade Policy Observatory conference.  This year’s conference will focus on the legal areas of trade policy:

New Dimensions in International Trade Law

The following papers will be presented:

Blockchain: Creating and Eliminating Trade in Services
Presented by: Dr Weiwei Zhang, International Trade Analyst, Sidley
Discussant: Dr Gabriel Gari , Reader in International Economic Law, QMUL

China’s role in the international trading system
Presented by: Dr Ping Wang, Assistant Professor in Law, University of Nottingham
Discussant: Dr Femi Amao, Reader in Law, University of Sussex

Official Export Support – compliance and competition concerns
Presented by: Dr Kamala Dawar, Fellow UKTPO; Senior Lecturer in Commercial Law
Discussant: Lauge Poulsen, Associate Professor in International Political Economy, UCL

Strategic litigation and health regulation: implications for International Economic Law
Presented by: Fiona Smith, Professor in International Economic Law, University of Leeds
Discussant: Federico Ortino, Reader of International Economic Law, KCL

Development, labour standards and sustainability in trade agreements
Presented by: Dr Clair Gammage, Senior Lecturer in Law, University of Bristol
Discussant: Dr Lorand Bartels, Reader in International Law; Fellow, Trinity House, University of Cambridge

Retaining versus reforming EU food safety legislation: selected issues for a US-UK trade negotiation
Presented by: Dr Emily Lydgate, Fellow UKTPO; Senior Lecturer in Environmental Law
Discussant: Dr Tom West; UK Environment Lead, ClientEarth

The conference will conclude with a panel discussion and Q&A on

Current trade tensions.

Chair:
Dr Anna Jerzewska, Free trade agreements and trade facilitation specialist

Panellists:
Dr Lorand Bartels, Reader in International Law; Fellow, Trinity House, University of Cambridge
Laura Bannister, Senior adviser on EU-UK trade, Trade Justice Movement
Peter Holmes, Fellow, UKTPO; Reader in Economics, University of Sussex
Andrew Hood, Partner, Regulatory & Trade, FieldFisher LLP

Please register here

What can we expect from the UK’s post-Brexit trade policy?

Date: Wednesday 9 October 2019

Time: 18:00 – 19:30, followed by a light reception

Venue: The Graduate Institute Geneva, Auditorium A2 | Maison de la Paix, Chemin Eugène Rigot, 2 GENEVA, Switzerland

Please register here

Chair:

Professor L. Alan Winters, Director, UKTPO, University of Sussex

Panel:

  • Dr Ingo Borchert, Senior Lecturer in Economics at the University of Sussex; Fellow of the UK Trade Policy Observatory
  • Dr Minako Morita-Jaeger, Fellow, UKTPO, University of Sussex
  • Julia Magntorn Garrett, Research Officer, UKTPO, University of Sussex

The political turmoil over when and how to exit the European Union has pushed aside the substantive debate over the shape of post-Brexit UK trade policy.  Panellists from the UK Trade Policy Observatory (UKTPO) will discuss challenges and opportunities of designing UK trade policy.

Important cornerstones include:

  1. The fact that UK is the most services-oriented of all the major economies and services trade policy is hardly ever mentioned.  Ingo Borchert will outline recent trends in services trade and how the UK could (or should) respond in formulating a post-Brexit policy.
  2. The UK is working very hard to roll-over the trade agreements to which it is currently party as an EU member-state; one of the most important is the EU-Japan Economic Partnership Agreement.  Minako Morita Jaeger will discuss the forces shaping this agreement and in particular the interests and role of international business in formulating it.
  3. UK policy is to adopt the EU’s schedule of bound tariffs, but in March 2019 it announced a set of temporary more liberal applied rates to take effect in the event of ‘No deal’. Julia Magntorn Garrett will discuss the structure of this tariff schedule, its motivations and whether it would actually be implemented by the current government.

The panel discussion will be followed by a light reception in the hall of Petal Two.

Please register here

Brexit: What now for UK trade policy? Part 2

Date: Tuesday 1 October 2019

Time: 12:30 – 13:30

Venue: Chatham House, St James’s Square, London, SW1Y 4LE

Please register here

Chair:
Prof Jim Rollo, Deputy Director, UKTPO; Associate Fellow, Chatham House

Panel:

  • Prof Jagjit S. Chadha, Director, NIESR
  • Dr Kamala Dawar, Senior Lecturer in Law, University of Sussex; Fellow, UKTPO
  • Dr Michael Gasiorek, Senior Lecturer in Economics, University of Sussex; Director, Interanalysis; Fellow, UKTPO

In the five months since the last extension of the Brexit deadline, nothing has been resolved. The questions about the UK’s trading relationship with the EU remain as open as before, as do those about what sort of relationship it should seek with other partners. The world has not stood still, however, and so the UKTPO is convening another panel to consider constructive ways of moving forward.

The panel will discuss potential trajectories for UK trade policy, followed by a question and answer session.

Please register here

Winners and Losers from International Trade: What do we know and what are the implications for policy?

Date: Thursday 18 July 2019

Time: 12:00 to 13:00

Venue: 10-11 Carlton House Terrace, London SW1Y 5AH

Please register here

Speakers:
Dr Michael Gasiorek, Senior Lecturer in Economics, UKTPO Fellow, University of Sussex; Director, Interanalysis
Julia Magntorn, Research Officer, UKTPO, University of Sussex

Discussant:
Torsten Bell, Chief Executive, Resolution Foundation

Chair:
L. Alan Winters, Professor of Economics, Director, UKTPO, University of Sussex

Economists have long argued, and with good justification, that international trade brings overall benefits to economies. However, increasing trade is likely to create losers as well as winners. As the UK prepares to leave the EU and have an independent trade policy it is important to understand how future trade agreements, or policy changes, may affect economic outcomes such as prices, productivity and output, and through these, individuals and regions.

In this meeting we will discuss the UKTPO’s latest Briefing Paper, ‘Winners and Losers from International Trade: What do we know and what are the implications for policy?’ providing a conceptual background of how trade changes may result in winners and losers – be these consumers, workers, regions, or industries, and giving an overview of what the empirical evidence tells us about how developed economies have adjusted to changes in trade.  Making good (trade) policy in this context is complicated. We consider potential policy responses that could help losers from international trade adjust, and ensure that the winners can take advantage of the new opportunities created by trade liberalisation.

Please register here

Can the UK do better than just rolling over the trade agreement with South Korea?

Date: Thursday 13 June 2019

Time: 12:30 to 13:30

Venue: Chatham House, St James’s Square, London, SW1Y4LE

Please register here

Speakers:
Dr Minako Morita-Jaeger, Associate Fellow UKTPO, University of Sussex
Professor L. Alan Winters, Director, UKTPO, University of Sussex

Discussant:
John Cooke, Chairman of the Liberalisation of Trade in Services Committee, TheCityUK

Chair:
Professor Jim Rollo, Associate Fellow, Global Economy and Finance Department, Chatham House; Deputy Director, UK Trade Policy Observatory

Overview:
The debate on the UK’s future trade deals with non-EU countries has been mainly focused on rolling over the EU’s existing Free Trade Agreements (FTAs). What is missing is a far-sighted strategy in the case that the UK manages an orderly Brexit and has a transition period until the end of 2020. If not just rolling over, what would be the possible options?

In the case of a future UK-Korea deal, the UK could potentially negotiate a new FTA built on the Korea-EU FTA (KorEU) or negotiate a completely new FTA modeled on the Korea-US FTA (KORUS). Our comparative analysis of KorEU and KORUS in services reveals that the two agreements took very different approaches for services trade liberalisation. Both achieved “GATS-plus” liberalisation commitments from Korea. KORUS seems to have achieved slightly more than KorEU. However, KORUS is more complicated and less transparent than KorEU. It also contains more WTO-inconsistent features. The KORUS option would enable the UK to better pursue its own specific needs since it would not be directly bound by KorEU. On the other hand, the WTO-inconsistent aspects of KORUS would need to be avoided, based on a clear vision of UK’s contribution towards the future multilateral trading system. Either way, the UK would face two stumbling blocks: the UK’s lack of negotiating power and the Most Favoured Nation (MFN) clauses in KorEU and KORUS (and other FTAs involving Korea). Whatever the scenario, the UK Government is urged to build its trade negotiating capacities to cope with these challenges.

Please register here

Technical Exercise or Deep Regulatory Reform? The UK’s Post-Brexit Statutory Instruments

Date: Tuesday 28 May 2019

Time: 12:30 – 1:30pm

Venue: Chatham House, St James’s Square, London, SW1Y 4LE

Please register here

Speakers:

Dr Emily Lydgate, Senior Lecturer in Law, University of Sussex; Fellow, UK Trade Policy Observatory (UKTPO)
Ffion Thomas, Regulatory Compliance Professional

Discussant:

Alexandra Sinclair, Fellow in Brexit, Parliament and the Rule of Law, Public Law Project

Chair:

Professor Jim Rollo, Associate Fellow, Global Economy and Finance Department, Chatham House; Deputy Director, UK Trade Policy Observatory (UKTPO)

Overview:

While the future of our relationship with the EU remains uncertain, an important element of the UK’s preparation has already been undertaken, with the development of a large new body – over 10,000 pages – of legislation that converts EU legislation into UK domestic law. Though presented by the UK government as limited to technical rather than policy changes, the process has required the UK to develop an array of new procedures and competencies. As a result, in contrast to the ‘legal lock’ of the EU, much of UK law – in particular relating to environmental protection – will take the form of secondary legislation to which the government can make future changes relatively easily.

In this event, the speakers will take stock of the implications of this process focusing in particular on statutory instruments (SIs) relating to pesticides. The speakers will note that these SIs consolidate powers to UK ministers to amend, revoke and make pesticide legislation and both weaken enforcement arrangements and the requirement to obtain scientific advice.

Please register here

Brexit: What now for UK trade policy?

Date: Thursday 4 April 2019

Time: 9:30 – 10:30am

Venue: Chatham House, St James’s Square, London, SW1Y 4LE

Please register here

Chair:
Prof Jim Rollo, Deputy Director, UKTPO; Associate Fellow, Chatham House

Panel:
Chris Giles, Economics Editor, Financial Times
Dr Emily Lydgate, Senior Lecturer in Law, University of Sussex; Fellow, UKTPO
Prof L. Alan Winters CB, Professor of Economics, University of Sussex; Director, UKTPO

Overview:
No-one knows yet what is going to happen in regards to Brexit. But what is clear is that we have only a few weeks left to sort things out. And whatever direction Brexit takes will pose serious questions about, and challenges for, the UK’s future trade policy.

The panel will discuss potential trajectories for UK trade policy, followed by an open question and answer session with the panel and other Fellows of the UK Trade Policy Observatory.

Please register here

What is the ‘extra mileage’ in the reintroduction of free zones in the UK?

Date: Tuesday 26 February 2019

Time: 9:30 – 10:30am

Venue: Chatham House, St James’s Square, London, SW1Y 4LE

Please register here

Speakers:
Dr Peter Holmes, Reader in Economics, University of Sussex Fellow, UKTPO
Dr Ilona Serwicka, Research Fellow in the Economics of Brexit; Fellow, UKTPO
Discussant:
Paul Swinney, Director of Policy and Research, Centre for Cities
Chair:
Professor Jim Rollo, Deputy Director, UKTPO; Associate Fellow, Chatham House

Since the EU referendum, there has been a growing interest in the reintroduction of free zones in the United Kingdom. Those advocating free zones believe that they will help to boost British trade after Brexit and promote economic growth. Although there are potential benefits and savings that businesses can accrue from simplified customs procedures, and relief on customs duties and tariff inversion, the authors explain that such benefits will be very limited in the UK context.

The US experience is not very illuminating: whilst there are many jobs in their free zones, there is little evidence how many are net creations and the main purpose of the US free zones appears to be to supply the domestic market without having to pay high tariffs on imported inputs.

While there is a scope for free zones shaping an export-oriented place-based regional development programme, policymakers should devise measures that (i) counteract possible diversion of economic activity from elsewhere, and (ii) offer a wider set of incentives than just free zones, while keeping within our WTO and any ‘level playing field’ obligations that arise from our trade agreements.

Please register here

The Sectoral and Regional Effects of Brexit
A joint seminar by NIESR & UK Trade Policy Observatory at Sussex

Date: Wednesday 28 November 2018

Time: 9.00 Registration & Light Breakfast

9.30 till 11 am Presentations and Q&A

Venue: National Institute of Economic and Social Research, 2 Dean Trench St, Smith Square, London SW1P 3HE

Please register here

In this joint seminar, our speakers will discuss the findings of two papers that look at the impact of different Brexit deals on the structure of the UK economy.  The Brexit deal agreed by the EU and UK negotiators is now known and there will be an opportunity to discuss its possible effects.

Brexit and manufacturing jobs by Dr. Michael Gasiorek, Dr. Ilona Serwicka and Prof. Alasdair Smith, UKTPO (University of Sussex)
This paper investigates the effect of Brexit on the manufacturing sector, looking specifically at the detailed sectors that are most vulnerable to Brexit.  Preliminary findings, based on partial equilibrium modelling, suggest that high-tech and medium-high tech manufacturing sectors are more at risk of a significant decline in domestic production than medium and medium-low tech sectors.

The Sectoral Implications of Brexit by Dr. Garry Young (NIESR)
This paper will investigate the effect of Brexit on the economy more broadly, including the service sectors using a general equilibrium macroeconomic modelling approach.   Findings from that approach suggest that manufacturing may be shielded from the effects of a hard-Brexit as exchange rate depreciation shifts the burden of adjustment to consumer-facing industries.

Places are limited, therefore to ensure attendance please RSVP as soon as possible.

Please register here

or call Luca on 020 7654 1931

Please note: Due to the nature of NIESR’s Grade II listed building, we are unable to provide step-free access to our facilities and the Library is not currently accessible to wheelchair users, or those with limited mobility. We apologise for the inconvenience. Please do let us know in advance how we can assist your visit to the Institute we are happy to discuss alternative arrangement in order to access our events.

The Brexit Burden: A constituency level analysis for Hampshire and Sussex

20 November 2018, 17:30 – 19:15

The Clarendon Centre, 47-49 New England Street, Brighton, BN1 4GQ

Please register here

Speakers:    Professor L. Alan Winters, Director, UKTPO Director, University of Sussex
Dr Ilona Serwicka, Research Officer in the Economics of Brexit, University of Sussex

Discussant: Cllr Garry Wall, Leader, Mid Sussex District Council and Chair of the Greater Brighton Economic Board

Chair:           Christina Ewbank, CEO and Past President of Eastbourne unLtd Chamber of Commerce

Overview

A ‘no deal’ Brexit could lead to an employment loss of around 39,000 jobs in Hampshire and Sussex, this is according to a new study by researchers at the UK Trade Policy Observatory, who analysed the impact of Brexit on employment across the 34 parliamentary constituencies within Hampshire and Sussex.

 In the UK, South East England is the region most heavily engaged in cross-border trade. In 2017, the South East exported £45.3bn worth of goods and £34bn worth of services – and nearly a half of these exports were destined for the EU. This large value of cross-border trade, with high exposure to trade with the EU, means that a ‘no deal’ Brexit could be particularly disruptive to the South East of England’s economy.

 After allowing for the fact that people often live and work in different places, we estimate that the shock to residents of Hampshire and Sussex could be equivalent to the loss of about 43,000 jobs. The research suggests that constituencies such as Aldershot, Eastleigh and Brighton Pavilion may be among those most heavily impacted.

 Given that Brexit decisions will ultimately be taken on the floor of the House of Commons, this study will provide a base from which Hampshire and Sussex MPs can start to assess the impact of Brexit on their constituents.

Please register here


What can Britain expect from trade agreements on Services?

15 November 2018, 12:30 – 13:30

Chatham House, 10 St James’s Square, London, SW1Y 4LE

Please register here

This event is being held to launch the UKTPO’s two latest briefing papers:
  • Briefing Paper 24: ‘UK’s future services trade deals with non-EU countries: A reality check’
  • Briefing Paper 25: ‘Most Favoured Nation clauses in EU trade agreements: one more hurdle for UK negotiators’

Speakers:

  • Dr Minako Morita Jaeger
  • Julia Magntorn

Discussant:

  • Christophe Bondy, Special Counsel, Cooley LLP

Chair:

  • Professor Jim Rollo, Deputy Director, UKTPO, University of Sussex

Overview

This meeting will provide a realistic view of what trade agreements in services can really offer. The UK government has high expectations about future services trade deals with non-EU countries. However, in practice, Free Trade Agreements (FTAs) typically only provide greater legal certainty about current applied policies rather than bringing about actual trade liberalisation in services.

Based on other countries’ experiences, the UK government will face several significant challenges and complexities in negotiating services FTAs with non-EU countries. For example, services trade negotiations are all about regulations, but the domestic authorities responsible for regulation are typically risk averse (it’s their job!). They are usually not well set-up for international collaboration and see little benefit from it in terms of their own objectives. To make progress on FTAs, the UK government will need to encourage many bodies across government to engage in the negotiations. Second, the UK has little to offer to its FTA partners because, except for Mode 4 (movement of natural persons), which is highly sensitive, UK services markets are already de facto pretty open.

A third complexity is that the UK’s bargaining power will be limited by the Most Favoured Nation (MFN) clauses for services policies that exist in several of the EU’s existing FTAs. These mean that any concessions that partners could offer to the UK may have to be extended ‘for free’ to the EU (an economy six times larger than the UK); in addition, the EU will be discouraged from offering the UK generous terms because these will have to be extended to countries like Japan and Canada.

Overall, therefore, it is not realistic to expect that future trade deals with non-EU countries will be able to recoup the losses of services trade that the UK will incur by leaving the European Single Market.

The meeting will be based on two new Briefing Papers from the UKTPO:

Briefing Paper 24: UK’s future services trade deals with non-EU countries: A reality check explains why it is so difficult to achieve actual liberalisation in service negotiations and what FTAs, in practice, can offer. The Paper then discusses the major factors that diminish the UK’s future FTA partners’ incentives for making concessions.

Briefing Paper 25: Most Favoured Nation clauses in EU trade agreements: one more hurdle for UK negotiators provides a comprehensive overview of the EU’s Most Favoured Nation (MFN) clauses on services and investment. It discusses their scope and the exceptions they contain, and then considers how these clauses are likely to limit the extent of concessions that the EU and its existing partners are prepared to grant the UK.

Please register here


Not backing Britain: FDI Inflows since the Brexit Referendum

31 October 2018, 9:15 – 10:15am

10-11 Carlton House Terrace, London, SW1Y 5AH

Please register here

Speakers:

  • Dr Ilona Serwicka, Research Fellow in the Economics of Brexit, University of Sussex
  • Nicolo Tamberi, Research Officer in the Economics of Brexit, University of Sussex

Discussant:

  • Jagjit S Chadha, Director, National Institute of Economic and Social Research

Chair:

  • Professor L. Alan Winters, Director, UKTPO Director, University of Sussex

Overview

The United Kingdom has historically been one of the main recipients of inward foreign direct investment (FDI), attracting more greenfield investment than other large European economies. However, the Brexit vote has introduced considerable uncertainty over the future growth potential of the UK market, and the ease of cross-border flow of goods and services. Following a peak of inward investment activity in early 2015, the number of FDI project announcements for the UK and the UK’s share of the European market for FDI have been falling.

In this briefing paper we provide an analysis of inward FDI to the UK before and after the EU referendum, looking at the main foreign investors, which sectors they invest in and how trends in inward FDI have evolved over time. Our work suggests that following the Brexit vote, inward investment has been 16-20 per cent lower than it would have been if the UK had voted to remain a member of the EU, but that this impact differs depending on the sector.

Please register here


We need to talk about Donald

3 October 2018, 18:30 – 20:00

The Graduate Institute Geneva, Auditorium A2 | Maison de la Paix, Chemin Eugène Rigot, 2 GENEVA

Register

For a decade or more tensions have been rising in the World Trading System. The stresses felt by less-skilled workers in developed countries, accusations of malpractice on investment and intellectual property in emerging markets, covert measures of protection and low aggregate trade growth have all contributed to a sense of unease and disappointment. But with the election of President Trump in the USA, these uncomfortable itches have flared up into a painful and disconcerting rash. With tariffs escalating and institutions under fire, we have to ask ‘what are we going to do?’
This seminar brings together experts from the UK Trade Policy Observatory (UKTPO) and the Graduate Institute to discuss US trade policies and the rest of the world’s response to them in the context of the multilateral system. The meeting will comprise two presentations, commentary and discussion.
  • Trade Wars: possible responses and consequences

Dr Michael GASIOREK, UK Trade Policy Observatory
Dr Ilona SERWICKA, UK Trade Policy Observatory
Prof. Alasdair SMITH, UK Trade Policy Observatory

  • Trumpian commercial policy: Trade war, or reverse regionalism?

Richard BALDWIN, Professor of International Economics, Graduate Institute, Geneva

  • Question & Answers

Chair: Prof. L. Alan WINTERS CB, Director, UK Trade Policy Observatory
The discussion will be followed by a light reception in the Hall of Petal 2 (Maison de la Paix)


Fishing in Deep Waters

25 July 2018 – 12:30pm to 1:30pm

Chatham House, 10 St James’s Square, London | SW1Y 4LE

Register 

Speakers:

Dr Michael Gasiorek, Senior Lecturer in Economics, University of Sussex; Fellow, UK Trade Policy Observatory (UKTPO)
Suzannah F Walmesley, Principal Consultant, ABPmer

Discussant:
Matthew Whittles, Team Leader: Trade in fish | EU and International Fisheries, DEFRA will be the discussant.

Chair:
Jim Rollo CMG, Emeritus Professor of European Economics, University of Sussex; Deputy Director UK Trade Policy Observatory and Associate Fellow Chatham House

Overview

Leaving the EU will involve some combination of changes in tariffs, non-tariff measures, and also the amount of fish quotas that can be caught by the UK and the EU respectively. Several politicians and commentators have stated that Brexit means that the UK can take back control of its fishing waters. The aim of this Briefing Paper is twofold. First, to detail the policy environment, and the policy considerations facing the UK government in the Brexit negotiations. Secondly, to provide an empirical assessment of what the impact on leaving the EU might be on the seafood industry. As the nature of the UK’s future trade relations with the EU are still uncertain, in this paper we explore several simulations which aim, broadly speaking, to capture the key variants of Brexit that appear to be under discussion. 


Analytical Studies of Brexit

Tuesday 3 July 2018, 09.15-16.15

Chatham House, St James’s Square, London

An academic conference looking at the economics of Brexit, hosted by the UKTPO and Chatham House. Six papers will be presented over the course of the day, which will end with a roundtable discussion chaired by Chris Giles, Economics Editor for the Financial Times.

Please see the conference brochure for full details.


The future of US – UK trade relations

Tuesday 19 June 2018, 12.30-1.30pm

Chatham House, St James’s Square, London

Please book here

Speakers:

  • Rorden Wilkinson, Professor of Global Political Economy and Deputy Pro-Vice-Chancellor (Education and Innovation), University of Sussex, UKTPO Fellow
  • Pietra Rivoli, Vice-Dean and Professor in the McDonough School of Business at Georgetown University
  • Alan Winters, Professor of Economics and Director of the UKTPO, University of Sussex
  • Emily Lydgate, Lecturer in Law, University of Sussex, UKTPO Fellow
  • Michael Gasiorek, Senior Lecturer in Economics, University of Sussex; Managing Director of Interanalysis; member of UKTPO

Chair:
Jim Rollo CMG, Emeritus Professor of European Economics, University of Sussex; Deputy Director UK Trade Policy Observatory and Associate Fellow Chatham House

Overview
Both US President Donald Trump and UK Prime Minister Theresa May have stated their keenness to negotiate and agree the groundwork for a bilateral trade agreement after Brexit. With President Trump set to visit the UK next month and less than a year until the UK leaves the EU, this roundtable event focuses on what the key issues are likely to be and what a transatlantic agreement may, or may not, comprise. The panellists outline the general geopolitical landscape within which a UK – US trade agreement will be negotiated, including the WTO, discuss some potential issues that may infringe on a swift agreement and also offer insight on how these issues could be resolved. These include the compatibility of regulatory regimes, public support for free trade and economic interests.

Please book here


Integrating sustainable development objectives into UK trade policy

Wednesday 2 May 2018, 9 – 10am

Chatham House, St James’s Square, London

Please book here

Speakers:
Dr Emily Lydgate, Lecturer in Law, University of Sussex, UKTPO Fellow
Dr Rob Amos, Research Officer, University of Sussex

Discussant:
Dr Max Mendez-Parra, Senior Research Fellow, ODI

Chair:
Professor Jim Rollo CMG, University of Sussex, Deputy Director UK Trade Policy Observatory and Associate Fellow Chatham House

Overview
As the UK contemplates ambitious new trade agreements, it needs to develop mechanisms to ensure that these uphold its commitment to environmental protection and high labour standards, and benefit all of the UK. As it has not managed external trade independently for many years, there are no existing procedures for scoping, negotiating and ratifying trade agreements. Proposed legislation does not fill the gaps, and questions remain about the governance of new trade agreements, as well as those ‘rolled over’ from the EU.

In this context, we will examine approaches to:

(1) integrating sustainable development objectives into the negotiating process; and

(2) reflecting these objectives through trade agreements.

We conclude that the UK’s ability to take leadership in this area will hinge on its ability to develop a robust framework to ensure that the negotiation process is transparent and allows for public consultation, and that the impact of new trade agreements – including on the environment and vulnerable populations – are assessed and addressed. In this respect, the UK can draw from, and improve upon, the EU’s experience with Sustainability Impact Assessment. We identify the potential significance of third-party trade agreements, most imminently with the US, in shaping UK domestic environmental and consumer protection.

Finally, we highlight implications of the UK’s inheritance of the EU’s ‘cooperative approach’ to trade and sustainable development through the continuation of its trade agreements.

Please book here


Can CETA-plus solve the UK’s services problem?

Thursday 22 March 2018, 12 noon to 1pm

10-11 Carlton House Terrace, London, SW1Y

Please book your place here

Speakers: Professor L. Alan Winters, Director, UKTPO Director, University of Sussex
Julia Magntorn, Research Officer in the Economics of Brexit, University of Sussex

Discussant: Christophe Bondy, Special Counsel, Cooley LLP

Chair: Gemma Tetlow, Economics Correspondent for the Financial Times

Overview

In the search for a framework for a future UK-EU trade relationship, the Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement between the EU and Canada (CETA) has come under the spotlight. To inform the debate surrounding a potential ‘Canada plus’ model for the UK post-Brexit, the UK Trade Policy Observatory’s latest Briefing Paper looks in detail at the services and investment liberalisation that the EU undertook in CETA.

We score the EU’s commitments in CETA according to their degree of liberalisation and aggregate the scores across a wide range of services sectors. This, in turn, allows a comparison between sectors and helps us to identify the sectors where the UK may want to seek ‘pluses’ in a UK-EU context. Further, we evaluate the extent to which the EU’s commitments in CETA improve on pre-existing regimes by comparing the degree of liberalisation in CETA with the EU’s prior commitments in the GATS. Finally, we discuss the extent to which the pluses that the UK may seek are likely to be achievable.

Please book your place here.


Which Manufacturing Sectors are most Vulnerable to Brexit?

Tuesday 6 February 2018, 1.30 – 2.30pm

Chatham House, St James’s Square, London

Book your place here

Overview

Trade in manufactures constitutes 65% of the UK’s trade with the EU and nearly 50% of the UK’s exports of manufactures goes to the EU.

In this new Briefing Paper, we look at the possible effects of Brexit on UK manufacturing in much greater sectoral detail than has been done before. For 122 manufacturing sectors, we estimate the exposure of these sectors to different versions of Brexit. Our projections depend on whether we assume the UK leaves the Customs Union and the Single Market, and on whether the UK makes a free trade agreement with the EU and is able to carry over existing free trade agreements with non-EU countries.

In all cases, we find that introducing tariff and non-tariff barriers raises the prices that UK consumers and producers will face, and leads to reduced UK exports; but for some sectors, the increase in protection leads to higher UK output. The impact of Brexit is likely to be significantly different between high-tech and lower-tech sectors.

Speakers:
Dr Michael Gasiorek, Senior Lecturer in Economics, University of Sussex, Managing Director of Interanalysis; member of UKTPO
Dr Ilona Serwicka, Research Fellow in the Economics of Brexit, University of Sussex, member of UKTPO
Professor Alasdair Smith, Emeritus Professor of Economics, former Vice-Chancellor, University  of Sussex, member of the UKTPO

Discussant :
TBC

Chair:
Professor Jim Rollo CMG, University of Sussex, Deputy Director UK Trade Policy Observatory and Associate Fellow Chatham House

Please register here


Brexit and Regional Services Exports: A Heat Map Approach 

Thursday 11 January 2018, 1.30-2.30pm

Chatham House, St James’s Square, London

Book your place here

Speaker
Dr Ingo Borchert, Senior Lecturer in Economics, University of Sussex, Fellow of the UKTPO

Discussants
Anastassia Beliakova, Head of Trade Policy, British Chambers of Commerce
Prof Philip McCann, Professor of Urban and Regional Economics, Sheffield University Management School

Chair
Adam Ward, Deputy Director, Chatham House

Overview
This event will focus on UK services exports, a relevant but neglected area in the Brexit debate.  In particular, the UK Trade Policy Observatory will go beyond trade at the national level and describe the rich pattern by which the main UK regions engage in exporting services.  The panel will discuss the main findings and will take questions from the audience.

UK regions differ in the kinds of services they are producing and to which destinations these services are exported.  In order to gauge the exposure to a potential deterioration of market access for services to the EU, we describe in detail the distribution of services exports across regions and sectors, covering both cross-border trade in services and services inputs embodied in manufacturing exports.  Importantly, we consider the extent to which services exports are directed towards EU markets at a regionally disaggregated level.  As such, the analysis conveys a sense how the impact of Brexit may be felt differently across UK regions.

Book your place here


Certificates of Origin: how do UK firms declare origin?

Tuesday 16 January 2018, 09.00-10.30

10-11 Carlton House Terrace, London

Please book your place here

Speakers
Nick Jacob, PhD Candidate in Economics at the University of Sussex
Dr Peter Holmes, Reader in Economics, University of Sussex, Director of CARIS and InterAnalysis; Fellow of the UK Trade Policy Observatory.

Discussants
Adam Marshall, Director General, British Chambers of Commerce
Anastasia Beliakova, Head of Trade Policy, British Chambers of Commerce

Chair
Professor Jim Rollo CMG, University of Sussex, Deputy Director of the UK Trade Policy Observatory; and Associate Fellow, Chatham House

Overview:
At this event, the UK Trade Policy Observatory and the British Chambers of Commerce will provide insight into the experience of firms declaring origin with the use of Certificates of Origin, how well they understand the system, and why they choose the options they do. The panel will then discuss the several different systems for declaring the origin of goods and possible options post-Brexit.

When the UK leaves the EU, proving the origin of a given good or product will be a far bigger issue for UK businesses exporting to the EU. Currently, EU customs procedures are minimal since, being a customs union, all goods produced in the EU or imports from third countries that have cleared customs are in “free circulation”, and need no further proof of where they originated. After Brexit, the UK and EU may sign a Free Trade Agreement (FTA). There may even be arrangements that allow EU components to be counted as being of UK origin for FTAs with non-EU countries. However, any preferential Rules of Origin arrangements will require the originating status of goods to be proven – meaning that many more business will need to learn to navigate this landscape.

Please book your place here


Grandfathering FTAs: What might appear bilateral is in fact trilateral 

Wednesday 29 November 2017, 5-6pm

Chatham House, London

 Book your place here

Speaker:
Dr Michael Gasiorek, Senior Lecturer in Economics, University of Sussex, Managing Director of Interanalysis; member of UKTPO

Discussants:
Andrew Hood
, Senior Director  with Dechert LLP and a qualified barrister with extensive international and EU law expertise
Dr Peter Holmes, Reader in Economics, University of Sussex, Director of CARIS and InterAnalysis; member of UKTPO.

Chair:
Professor Jim Rollo CMG, University of Sussex, Deputy Director UK Trade Policy Observatory and Associate Fellow Chatham House

Overview:
Michael Gasiorek will present the UKTPO’s latest briefing paper on grandfathering.  The EU currently has free trade agreements with over 60 countries. When the UK leaves the EU the UK will no longer be a party to these agreements yet they account for over 15% of total UK imports and exports.  The government’s position is that it intends to roll these agreements over (known as grandfathering) so that they continue to apply to the UK and so that existing producers and consumers are not negatively affected. The government has also indicated that the existing partner countries are willing to do this.  Dr Michael Gasiorek will outline why grandfathering is important, why it may be tricky to achieve, and why even if the agreements could be rolled-over there is likely to be an impact on UK, EU and free trade area producers and consumers. A key theme is that what might appear to be a bilateral issue of rolling over between the UK and an FTA partner, is, in fact, a trilateral issue which also includes the EU. Michael will explain why this is the case and make suggestions as to priorities which should be focused on and possible ways forward.

Andrew Hood will focus on addressing the legal issues of grandfathering

Peter Holmes will add to the conversation and comment on Michael and Andrew’s contributions.

Book your place here

Trade and Consumers after Brexit

Wednesday 8 November 2017, 1:30-2:30pm

Chatham House, London

 Book your place here

Speakers:

  • Dr Peter Holmes, Reader in Economics, University of Sussex, Director of CARIS and InterAnalysis; Fellow of UKTPO
  • Prof L Alan Winters CB, Director UK Trade Policy Observatory, Professor of Economics, University of Sussex,

Discussant: Sue Davies, Strategic Policy Adviser, Which?

Chair: Jim Rollo CMG, Deputy Director UK Trade Policy Observatory, Emeritus Professor of European Economics and Associate Fellow Chatham House, UK

Overview

L Alan Winters will discuss the cost of living consequences of Brexit based on RF/UKTPO paper, ‘Changing Lanes: The impact of different post-Brexit trading policies on the cost of living’ and a paper to be released in early  Nov in the NIER.

Peter Holmes will present the UKTPO’s latest briefing paper on the recent challenges facing consumers in world trade.

  • He will stress that the classic argument that trade benefits consumers overall remains true, but that distributional issues must also be recognised.
  • There may be instances in which the inefficient tool of import restrictions is used to address the adjustment impact of trade flows,  but when this is so, the costs of these to consumers must be transparently presented and taken into account.
  • At the same time, future trade policy must also be alert to possible constraints imposed by future trade or investment deals on using regulation to ensure consumer benefits through necessary regulation.

Sue Davies will share her thoughts on the papers and this will be followed by a question and answer session.

 Book your place here

Taking Services Seriously after Brexit

Tuesday, 26 September 2017 – 08:00-09:30

The Graduate Institute, Restaurant Maison de la Paix, Petal 5, 8th Floor, 2, Chèmin Eugène Rigot, Geneva 1201, Switzerland

Register here

The UK faces a complex re-design of trading arrangements after BREXIT. There has been much discussion but most has focussed on trade in goods, whereas the UK is primarily a service economy and services are critical to almost all economic activity. The panel of experts from the UK Trade Policy Observatory will lead a discussion of aspects of services trade after Brexit, including:

  • How the UK and EU might achieve deep integration in services after Brexit while respecting WTO rules.
  • Can there be progress in goods trade without progress in services?  Lessons from the EU single market for services.
  • Shallow vs deep integration — why shallow is deeper than is often supposed and how to manage the complementary policy areas in deep integration.
  • Data on services: what do we know about services and what would we need to know for making progress?

Speakers:

  • Richard BALDWIN, Professor International Economics, The Graduate Institute, Geneva; President of CEPR; Associate Fellow of the UK Trade Policy Observatory
  • Ingo BORCHERT, Senior Lecturer in Economics at the University of Sussex; Fellow of the UK Trade Policy Observatory
  • Bernard HOEKMAN, Professor and Director, Global Economics at the Robert Schuman Centre for Advanced Studies, European University; Fellow of the UK Trade Policy Observatory
  • L Alan WINTERS, Professor of Economics at the University of Sussex and Director of the UK Trade Policy Observatory

Introduced and moderated by Theresa CARPENTER , Graduate Institute Geneva; Executive Director of the Graduate Institute’s Centre for Trade and Economic Integration; Associate Fellow of the UK Trade Policy Observatory
Book your place here

Global Wine Markets and Brexit

19 May 2017 – 16:00 – 17.30
Chatham House, London
Register via Eventbrite

Speaker

PROFESSOR KYM ANDERSON, George Gollin Professor of Economics, Executive Director of the Wine Economics Research Centre, University of Adelaide and Australian National University, Australia

Discussants

JANCIS ROBINSON,  writes weekly for the Financial Times and daily for JancisRobinson.com, the first Master of Wine from outside the wine trade.

TAMARA ROBERTS, Chief Executive Officer, Ridgeview Wine Estate

Chair

PROFESSOR JIM ROLLO CMG, Deputy Director UK Trade Policy Observatory, Emeritus Professor of European Economics and Associate Fellow Chatham House, UK

Wine represents over 40% of the share of UK alcohol consumption in the UK today. Brexit is of considerable significance to wine producers and consumers across the world, because Britain has always imported a major share of the world’s wine, especially in value terms. The UK accounts for more than one-sixth of the wine export earnings of seven key wine countries, and for three of them (Australia, the US and New Zealand) it buys more than one-third of their volume of wine exports.

To get a sense of how wine markets might be affected by Brexit, Professor Kym Anderson uses a model of the world’s wine markets to project those markets to 2025 then adjusts for possible Brexit effects. Professor Anderson, a world authority on the wine market, will present the resulting impacts on bilateral wine trade values and volumes for commercial and fine still wines as well as for sparkling wines at this event.

What are the priorities for Britain’s Trade Policy Post Brexit? Open discussion

5 April 2017 – 17:30 – 19:30
Brighthelm, North Road, Brighton, BN1 1YD
Register via Eventbrite

Speakers

PROFESSOR L. ALAN WINTERS, Professor of Economics at the University of Sussex and Director of UKTPO

DR EMILY LYDGATE, Lecturer in Law at the University of Sussex and Fellow of UKTPO

Chair (TBC)

Members of the UK Trade Policy Observatory (UKTPO) at the University of Sussex will outline the key trade issues post-Brexit and provide economic and legal analysis of the UK’s trade relations post-Brexit. They will scope out a number of potential scenarios and the possible impact of each on the South East region.

The event will consist of short presentations from the panellists, a World Café session involving all attendees and a question and answer session. Refreshments will be served. The World Café session will provide participants with the opportunity to discuss the things they think are important, outline what trade issues they want to know more about, and what they think the government should do for trade in post-Brexit Britain.

Through these events UKTPO hopes to gather baseline data of stakeholder opinions and knowledge gaps. This data can help inform the focus of the Observatory’s future publication outputs, and our fellows can also feedback to policymakers, providing the opportunity for more inclusive trade policy-making.

Brexit and Government Procurement

28 March 2017 – 12:00 to 14:00
Chatham House, London

Speaker

DR KAMALA DAWAR, Lecturer in Commercial Law at the University of Sussex and Fellow of the UK Trade Policy Observatory.

Discussant

PROFESSOR ALASDAIR SMITH, Emeritus Professor of Economics, Former Vice-Chancellor, University of Sussex

DR SWATI DHINGRA, Lecturer in Economics, LSE

Chair

PROFESSOR JIM ROLLO CMG, Deputy Director UK Trade Policy Observatory, Emeritus Professor of European Economics and Associate Fellow Chatham House

The sheer value of public procurement contracts make them important both economically and for providing society with essential public goods, services and infrastructure. Yet, Brexit could fragment government procurement policy within the UK, as well as disrupt the UK’s relationship with the WTO GPA and other preferential procurement agreements.

At this meeting, the speaker will look at some of the legal issues that will affect the UK’s public procurement laws and policies following Brexit. She will put forward a response to some of the potentially negative consequences of Brexit that could undermine value for money, transparency and competition within the UK’s lucrative markets for government procurement contracts. This will be followed by a discussion.

Would WTO rules allow the UK and EU to sign a sectoral trade deal?

22 Feb 2017 – 13:00 to 14:00
10-11 Carlton House Terrace, London, SW1Y 5AH

Speakers

DR EMILY LYDGATE, Lecturer in Law, University of Sussex and Fellow, UK Trade Policy Observatory
PROFESSOR JIM ROLLO CMG, University of Sussex, Deputy Director UK Trade Policy Observatory and Associate Fellow Chatham House
DR FEDERICO ORTINO, Reader, King’s College London

When the UK leaves the EU Customs Union and the Single Market, could it still preserve some or most of the benefits of special access? In this event, we consider how WTO rules and practices will constrain and define any UK-EU agreement. While they rule out some solutions that may superficially appear politically convenient, like special market access solely for cars, they do not prohibit a deep and significant trade and cooperation agreement. While the parties may not be able to reach this agreement, they should not dress political failure up as legal impossibility.

Download a PDF of Dr Emily Lydgate’s presentation slides.

Services Trade and Brexit: What is at Stake?

22 Nov 2016 – 17:00 to 18:00
Chatham House, London

Speakers

DR INGO BORCHERT, Lecturer In Economics, University Of Sussex
JOHN COOKE, Chairman of the Liberalisation of Trade in Services Committee, ThecityUK
CHAIR: JIM ROLLO, Associate Fellow, International Economics Department, Chatham House

Brexit will have important repercussions for the UK’s economic ties with the EU in the realm of services markets. Services trade is economically significant for a number of reasons. Producer services such as finance, transportation or professional services are inputs into both the production and international exchange of goods, whereas trade in other services directly affects consumer welfare. This event provides an overview of prevailing services trade flows as well as trade policies. It will commence with a picture of current UK services trade across the various modes of supply. The revealed strengths of the UK in certain services sectors could inform negotiating priorities going forward. In terms of services trade policies, the event will discuss the different market access regimes at the multilateral level as well as through preferential agreements. The event will take the format of a presentation, followed by an open discussion.

UK-EU Trade Relations After Brexit: Too Many Red Lines?

15 Nov 2016 – 13:00 to 14:00
The Wolfson Room, 10 Carlton House Terrace, London, SW1Y 5AH

Speakers

DR PETER HOLMES, Reader In Economics, University of Sussex, Director of Caris and Interanalysis; Member of UKTPO
DR MICHAEL GASIOREK, Senior Lecturer in Economics, University of Sussex, Managing Director of Interanalysis; Member of UKTPO
PROFESSOR JIM ROLLO CMG, University of Sussex, Deputy Director UK Trade Policy Observatory and Associate Fellow Chatham House
CHAIR: Stephen Pickford, Associate Fellow, International Economics Programme, Chatham House

There are complicated trade-offs between the different options for trading relations between the UK and the EU following the UK’s vote to leave the EU. The mooted options range from a customs union, free trade area, to MFN status. The four main apparently immovable constraints involve:

  • An end to the free movement of people between the EU and the UK;
  • British law not being subject to the ECJ;
  • Sovereignty over British trade policy and;
  • No compulsory UK contribution the EU budget.

The EU has not specified either defensive or offensive objectives after Brexit apart from the mantra that the UK cannot cherry pick the bits of the single market it prefers. This discussion will explore whether a hard Brexit leading to accepting WTO terms based on the ‘Most Favoured Nation’ principle is inevitable, and if there is any way the constraints can be relaxed.

The economic consequences of Brexit – what the experts say

28 October 2016
IZA World of Labor, Berlin

Professor L. Alan Winters took part in a panel discussion alongside Dr. Klaus Günter Deutsch, Prof. Michael Burda, Prof. Daniel S. Hamermesh and moderated by Stephan Richter, publisher and Editor-in-Chief of The Globalist.

Watch the video of the discussion: The economic consequences of Brexit – what the experts say

The Landscape of UK Trade Policy after Brexit

28 September 2016
Graduate Institute, Geneva, as part of the Centre for Trade and Economic Intergration (CTEI) speaker series

Speaker: L. Alan WINTERS Professor of Economics at the University of Sussex and Director of the UK Trade Policy Observatory

Open Discussion with:

  • Emily LYDGATE Lecturer in Environmental Law at the University of Sussex, Moderator: Richard BALDWIN, Professor of International Economics at the Graduate Institute Geneva and president of CEPR
  • Patrick LOW Former Chief of Staff and Chief Economist of WTO, Senior Visiting Fellow at Sussex University;
  • Michael GASIOREK Senior Lecturer in Economics at the University of Sussex, Director of InterAnalysis Trade
  • Theresa CARPENTER Executive Director Centre for Trade and Economic Integration;
  • Lorand BARTELS Reader in International Law, University of Cambridge
  • Overview – The UK faces complex and potentially radical choices on trade policy after BREXIT. These include:
  • How should it reset its position in the WTO?
  • Should it stay in the EU customs union?
  • If the UK leaves the customs union in order to take control of its own trade policy:
    • What relationship should it have with the EU 27 beyond MFN or a simple FTA?
      Should it try to stay in some or all of the single market and can it do that without conceding free movement of labour?
    • What should it do about the trade agreements/ relationships that it has as result of membership of the EU covering both bilateral and regional FTA as well as under the EU GSP provisions?
    • How should it prioritise potential partners in new FTA?
      Can it do all this in the two years that Article 50 of the Treaty on European Union allows?

Download a video or PDF of the presentation made by Dr Emily Lydgate and Professor L. Alan Winters on The Landscape of UK Trade Policy after Brexit.

Reconstructing Britain’s Trade Policy After Brexit

21 Jul 2016 – 18:00 to 19:00
Chatham House London, UK

Participants

DR KAMALA DAWAR, Lecturer in Commercial Law, School of Law, University of Sussex
DR PATRICK LOW, Visiting Professor, University of Sussex; Chief Economist, WTO (1997-2013)
PROFESSOR JIM ROLLO CMG, University of Sussex, Deputy Director UK Trade Policy Observatory and Associate Fellow Chatham House
PROF L. ALAN WINTERS, CB, Director UK Trade Observatory, University of Sussex
CHAIR: DR PAOLA SUBACCHI, Research Director, International Economics, Chatham House

Overview

Following the decision to leave the EU, Britain will have to reconfigure its trade policy, successfully navigating a path through a new international trade landscape.

This event, which will launch the UK Trade Policy Observatory initiative, will analyse the WTO-related issues raised by the UK taking up its new status as an individual member without the responsibilities of an EU member. Such a transition is seen by many as an automatic step, as currently the UK is a member in its own right as well through the EU. The panel will seek to explore whether or not that assumption of an automatic transition is problematic.

Watch the video or listen to the audio recording of Reconstructing Britain’s Trade Policy After Brexit

March 1st, 2017

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Will Britain’s new trade deal with the Pacific Rim make a success out of Brexit?, Marketplace, 20 April 2023

Predicted 0.08% boost from UK-Asia trade deal could be overestimate, The Independent, 10 April 2023

Current State of UK Trade Policy, Trade Knowledge Matters, Trade Knowledge Exchange, 6 April 2023

Industry leaders welcome UK’s CPTPP trade deal, Global Trade Review, 5 April 2023

Explainer: Why is Britain joining a trans-Pacific trade pact?, Reuters, 31 March 2023

CPTPP trade bloc to give U.K. green light to join, Nikkei Asia, 31 March 2023

London Announces Joining The Pacific Trade Pact CPTPP, Globe Echo, 31 March 2023

Britain’s joining CPTPP. So what the hell is it?, POLITICO, 30 March 2023

Foreign trade: British accession to the Pacific Trade Pact CPTPP is imminent, Indo & NY, 29 March 2023

FactCheck: Does new Northern Ireland Brexit deal ‘remove any sense’ of an Irish Sea border?, Channel 4 News, 28 February 2023

Brexit slammed the UK economy. The new Northern Ireland deal gives it hope, CNN Business, 28 February 2023

The three bids vying to become Wales’ first freeport, WalesOnline, 16 February 2023

EU green spending puts pressure on UK to act, Investor’s Chronicle (The Financial Times), 10 February 2023

Ucrania sueña con la UE, pero todavía busca su identidad europea, El País, 10 February 2023

What is a freeport UK? Scotland green freeports locations, Rishi Sunak tax break hub policy explainedNationalWorld, 13 January 2023

2022

Brexit row erupts as Rishi Sunak accused of sitting on benefits of looming new deal, The Daily Express, 28 December 2022

Government won’t publish estimate of economic benefits of latest Brexit trade deal, Estonian Free Press, 28 December 2022

Government refuses to publish economic benefits estimate of latest Brexit trade deal, The Independent, 28 December 2022

The world gets tough on trade, Investors’ Chronicle (The Financial Times), 15 December 2022

Increasing number of people in United Kingdom go hungry because of price spikes, PBS NewsHour, 13 December 2022

Geopolitical Rivalries Are Transforming the Contours of Trade, Bloomberg UK, 4 December 2022

Brexit blow: exports to Japan fall following ‘historic’ free trade agreement 2022, Inventiva, 1 December 2022

EU to raise concerns over UK’s freeports scheme, The Financial Times, 30 November 2022

Brexit Britain trapped in the middle as US and EU go to war on trade, Politico, 29 November 2022

Cardiff Airport wants to become a freeport at the heart of a south-east Wales bid, Wales Online, 29 November 2022

Brexit blow: exports to Japan slump after ‘landmark’ free trade dealThe Guardian, 26 November 2022

‘Not Actually Very Good’ Britain’s Post-Brexit Trade Agreements with Japan & AustraliaByline Times, 15 November 2022

Rishi Sunak offers UK’s allies cause for hope but Tory dangers linger, Business Standard, 14 November 2022

Green energy focused Welsh freeport consortium bidder appoints chair, Business Live, 10 November 2022

Sunak Offers UK’s Allies Cause for Hope But Tory Dangers LingerBloomberg UK, 6 November 2022

‘Not a priority!’ Biden snubs UK again as trade deal with US stonewalled for years, The Daily Express, 4 November 2022

Michael Gove shares ‘misleading’ post-Brexit trade claim, The National, 3 November 2022

UK unveils investment zones as part of disastrous budget, fDi Intelligence (The Financial Times), 7 October 2022

UK freeport incentives could amount to unfair export subsidies: UKTPO, Global Trade Review, 5 October 2022

Plans for multi-site green energy focused freeport in south-west WalesBusiness Live, 30 September 2022

Liz Truss plans radical shift in economic policyThe Financial Times, 20 September 2022

Das ökonomische Mastermind hinter Liz Truss, Wirtschaftswoche, 11 September 2022

Can green Brexit benefits offset the costs of leaving?, Raconteur, 7 September 2022

Indian trade deal brings pesticide perilThe Scottish Farmer, 14 August 2022

UK-India trade deal could lead to toxic pesticides allowed in India harming UK consumers: ReportThe Times of India, 6 August 2022

UK-India trade deal could undermine food standards say expertsEnvironmentJournal, 5 August 2022

India trade deal could bring spike in toxic pesticides in UK food, report warnsFarmingUK, 4 August 2022

Campaigners warn India free trade deal could result in higher levels of pesticides in UK foodBusinessGreen, 4 August 2022

India trade deal risks rise of toxic pesticides in UK food: New reportFood Manufacture, 4 August 2022

UK negotiating strategy risks bad Brexit trade deal with India, parliamentary committee warnsThe Independent, 22 July 2022

Can food tariff cuts really put a dent in inflation?The Grocer, 19 July 2022

Boris Johnson v ethics adviser: what is row over steel tariffs about?The Guardian, 17 June 2022

Brexit benefits: From Honduras to Hull, via Hong KongYorkshire Bylines, 9 June 2022

Why the U.K. is threatening to tear up part of its Brexit treaty with the European Union, Marketplace, 27 May 2022

Forget Biden! Liz Truss told to ‘relax’ as US trade deal would be hellishly controversial, The Express, 21 May 2022

A freeport is to be established in Wales with £26m from the UK governmentWales Online, 12 May 2022

Four things that have changed since the last Brexit cliff edgeThe Financial Times, 12 May 2022

Week in London : All eyes on CPTPPBorderlex, 5 May 2022

Johnson’s plan to slash food tariffs would make little difference to grocery bills, analysis suggestsThe Independent, 29 April 2022

UK’s Brexit losses more than 178 times bigger than trade deal gainsThe Express, 27 April

‘93% is in each state’ Penny Mordaunt highlights UK tactic to target ‘20% of US economy’The Express, 24 April

Brexit masterstroke: UK on brink of trade revolution as ‘unreasonable’ EU rules decimatedThe Express, 23 April

Boris Johnson’s hopes of post-Brexit US-UK trade agreement dashed – ‘Biden not interested’, The Express, 2 April 2022

Tory MP reminds Boris of his private promise EU deal ‘would be temporary’, The Express, 2 April 2022

Any Port In A Storm? The Future For Freeports, Politics Home, 31 March 2022

How conflict is hurting Ukrainian farmers and consumers worldwide, The Breaker, 30 March 2022

Mid-Mornings with Richard Tice, Talk Radio, 27 March 2022

Brexit trade deals may not deliver any ‘actual economic benefits’, MPs warn, The Independent, 18 March 2022

Russia dealt another ‘crushing blow’ from G7 tariffs, says Joe BidenThe Telegraph, 14 March 2022

Ukraine crisis: China walks ‘diplomatic tightrope’, but impact of sanctions on Russia seen as ‘limited’ for bilateral tradeSouth China Morning Post, 25 February 2022

Developing | Ukraine-Russia conflictSouth China Morning Post, 25 February 2022

Rise in UK-Brazil trade threatens to speed up destruction of Amazon rainforest and other precious ecosystemsSustain, 23 February 2022

Presidents’ Day – what does the future hold for the ‘special’ relationship?Business Leader, 18 February 2022

Two new ‘green’ freeports to be created in Scotland, but likely benefits scrutinised, Edie, 14 February 2022

What is a freeport? Tax break hubs, Scotland ‘green freeports’ and where they will be located in UK explainedNationalWorld, 14 February 2022

Le Royaume-Uni enregistre une baisse de ses exportations vers l’Union européenneLes Echos, 13 February 2022

Pig culls and fertiliser shortages mean higher prices for British shoppersThe Independent, 13 February 2022

Liam Fox’s job hunt cost taxpayer £62,000The Times, 17 January 2022

How to shift the gloomy narrative around Brexit, Financial Times, 13 January 2022

Bloomberg Westminster: Not Just Another Brexit Special, Bloomberg, 7 January 2022

Happy now? How a year outside the EU’s legal and trading arrangements has changed Britain, The Economist, 1 January 2022

2021

Perfect Storm: a look back at a tumultuous year of Brexit and Covid, The Guardian, 28 December 2021

Biden fires ‘warning shot’ at UK over Brexit as tensions boil – ‘not interested’The Express, 18 December 2021

A Transatlantic Conversation on Post-Pandemic Global TradePlastics Industry Association, 15 December 2021

Closest allies, but why does a UK-US trade deal seem elusive?, South China Morning Post, 10 December 2021

UK ‘taking risks’ in haste to agree new trade deals, audit findsGlobal Trade Review, 8 December 2021

Small food businesses unprepared for next stage of Brexit controls, experts warnThe Grocer, 8 December 2021

Express vastly overstates impact of UK trade dealsFull Fact, 3 December 2021

Zoom opened the door for a revolution in the sale of British services overseasThe Times, 23 November 2021

Prince Charles pauses shipping of Christmas hampers to the EU amid Brexit changesMetro, 16 November 2021

Did Brexit Work for Business? Dispatches, Channel 4, 15 November 2021

UK-EU trade agreement has ‘caused £44bn hit to trade’Global Trade Review, 15 November 2021

Small exporters are shifting operations out of UK due to Brexit, survey suggestsThe i, 15 November 2021

Brexit: Tariffs paid on £9.5bn of UK exports to EU despite Boris Johnson’s claim of ‘tariff-free’ dealIndependent, 15 November 2021

Running a shop after Brexit: how taxing could it be? The Times, 14 November 2021

Low taxes and levelling up: the great freeport experiment comes to TeessideThe Observer, 14 November 2021

UK refuses to join trade pact to end fossil fuel subsidies, eliminate tariffs on green goodsPolitico, 11 November 2021

UK’s Brexit losses more than 178 times bigger than trade deal gainsThe Independent, 7 November 2021

Les fruits amers du divorce, La Liberté, 6 November 2021

‘Why did you sign it?’ Questions raised about Britain’s sign-off on NI protocolGB News, 10 October 2021

Boris Johnson’s Brexit choices are making Britain’s fuel and food shortages worseCNN, 29 September 2021

Most Favoured Nation: In Liz We Truss?, Most Favoured Nation, 17 September 2021

Crossing the pond: Where is the growth? Relocate Magazine, 16 September 2021

For Northern Ireland, Brexit means red tape and subsidies, The Economist, 3 September 2021

UK-New Zealand trade deal close but will only have a ‘minuscule’ impact in British shops, experts say, The i, 31 August 2021

Brexit Britain wants to liberalise trade with poor countries, The Economist, 14 August 2021

Business chief calls on PM to save north-east from Brexit damage, The Guardian, 9 August 2021

‘Each makes the other more difficult to recover from’: University of Sussex professor L. Alan Winters speaks to Wikinews on trade, COVID-19, BrexitWikinews, 30 June 2021

Australia to enjoy exports boost six times greater than UK from trade deal, experts sayThe Independent, 22 June 2021

So geht es der Wirtschaft fünf Jahre nach dem Brexit-Votum, Der Spiegel, 22 June 2021

European retailers still tied up in post-Brexit red tapeThe Telegraph, 21 June 2021

Trade policies negotiated without proper scrutiny have big implications for BritainThe Times, 19 June 2021

Brexit faces problems at the Northern Irish borderThe Economist, 17 June 2021

UK-Australia trade deal: New work visa proposals for Brits’ explained, and why it might be smoke and mirrorsThe i, 17 June 2021

Tariffs axed immediately on Australian beef and lamb, triggering fears that farmers will be sent ‘to the wall’Independent, 16 June 2021

Australia will benefit more from UK trade deal says expertABC News, 16 June 2021

Britain Signs Its First Major Post-Brexit Trade Deal With AustraliaNew York Times, 15 June 2021

The UK’s big GMO food plan might not be that bigWired, 14 June 2021

G7 summit 2021: Boris Johnson says he will do ‘whatever it takes’ to protect territorial integrity of UK after NI spatThe Times, 13 June 2021

A carbon tax on imports is the wrong way to level up world tradeThe Times, 10 June 2021

Warning over lower pesticide standards as UK eyes Pacific free trade dealThisisMoney, 9 June 2021

Liz Truss is wrong to paint Australian trade concerns as SNP grievanceThe National, 7 June 2021

UK looks to seal Australia trade deal after G7Financial Times, 2 June 2021

A tenth of British exports to the EU have faced tariffs since the start of 2021, new research finds, Institute of Export & International Trade, 1 June 2021

British exports worth billions have faced EU tariffs since BrexitBBC News, 28 May 2021

UK seeks ambitious trade deal to prise open protectionist Indian economyThe Telegraph, 25 May 2021

Times letters: Proposed tariff-free Australian trade dealThe Times, 21 May 2021

U.K. Goods Trade Crawls Back Amid Brexit Slump, Pandemic TurmoilBloomberg, 12 May 2021

UK’s services sector starts to count the real cost of BrexitFinancial Times, 10 May 2021

Brexit: European Parliament backs UK trade dealBBC News, 28 April 2021

Joe Biden ‘more interested’ in joining CPTPP than trade deal with Brexit Britain, The Express, 27 April 2021

Britânicos seguem empacados nos problemas do Brexit, Veja, 23 April 2021

Freeports aren’t about ‘levelling up’ – they’re a cover for tax cuts and deregulation, iNews, 22 April 2021

Brexit: UK-EU level playing field provisions ‘the most extensive’ of any trade agreement, Yahoo Finance, 22 April 2021

Long read: The beginner’s guide to freeportsPublic Finance, 22 April 2021

Trade benefits of UK freeports “limited”, says parliamentary committeeGlobal Trade Review, 20 April 2021

UK MPs and business figures seek to improve Brexit trade dealFinancial Times, 12 April 2021

Newport seeking freeport statusBusiness Live, 12 April 2021

100 Days later, Brexit isn’t working and business wants it fixedErie News Now, 12 April 2021

Verschärfte Kontrollen nach Brexit verschobenORF TV, 6 April 2021

Japanese companies still gauging future of post-Brexit U.K.Japan Times, 25 March 2021

Can freeports really revitalise the UK economy? Prospect, 22 March 2021

The UK’s independent trade strategy: US, Asia, or the EU? Trade Finance Global, 16 March 2021

Freeports will open up another gap in Britain’s already over-stretched defences against economic crimePolitics Home, 10 March 2021

Freeports, BBC Politics South, 7 March 2021 (starts approx. 7 mins)

Rishi Sunak’s plans for Darlington and TeessideThe Economist, 6 March 2021

Peter Holmes on FreeportsBBC Radio Cornwall, 3 March 2021 (starts approx. 47:40)

Interview with Peter Holmes about FreeportsTimes Radio, 2 March 2021 (starts approx. 01:35:35)

A freeport for Poole: Free trade or free ride? West Country Bylines, 2 March 2021

Britain’s climate dilemma as it navigates post-Brexit tradePolitico, 28 February 2021

“Game changing” plans to bring a freeport to Teesside submitted to governmentITV news, 8 February 2021

Peter Holmes on FreeportsBreakfast on BBC Radio Gloucestershire, 5 February 2021 (starts approx. 2:24:16)

Rishi Sunak’s free ports are no silver bullet for our economyLabour List, 4 February 2021

Dog food manufacturers among few to benefit from freeports, claims LabourThe Mirror, 3 February 2021

Why Britain wants to join a Pacific trade dealThe Telegraph, 1 February 2021

UK to apply for TPP membership Monday for ‘bridge’ to AsiaNikkei Asia, 31 January 2021

UK-EU trade tariffs after Brexit: what businesses need to knowThe Telegraph, 31 January 2021

5 things to expect from Joe Biden on UK tradePolitico, 20 January 2021

‘Big loss’ for Britain as EU trade deal exposes some UK cars to tariffsYahoo! Finance, 20 January 2021

The idea of buccaneering Britain was appealing but the reality is differentThe Times, 19 January 2021

EU invited to join CPTPP as rug pulled from under Boris Johnson’s Brexit dreamThe Express, 14 January 2021

Brexit uncertainty halts animal feed suppliesFarmers Weekly, 13 January 2021

Joe Biden pressured by allies to ‘get trade deal with EU before UK’ amid Brexit rowThe Express, 13 January 2021

Trade preferences need predictability, Vox EU, 11 January 2021

US Ambassador says Britain will win post-Brexit ‘prizes’ – hints ‘major’ US-UK trade dealThe Express, 6 January 2021

How FDI responds to non-trade provisions in preferential trade agreements, Vox EU, 5 January 2021

The joint effect of private and public environmental regulation on emissions, Vox EU, 3 January 2021


2020

Will London lose its clout? BFM, 31 December 2020

Journal 20h00France 2, 25 December 2020 (starts approx. 15:55)

EU ‘fearing NEW rival trade bloc with Britain, US and Australia’, The Express, 17 December 2020

UK exports lag behind rivals amid Brexit and Covid uncertainty, Financial Times, 16 December 2020

Brexit deadlock between UK and EU ‘very strange’ – Boris ‘not telling us something’, The Express, 15 December 2020

Call You & Yours – How ready are you for Brexit?, BBC Radio 4, 15 December 2020

Boris Johnson crushed as 2021 deadline for US-UK trade deal ‘will NOT be met’, The Express, 11 December 2020

Cost of living gains from Brexit trade deals illusory, say experts, The Independent, 9 December 2020

Brexit fishing fury as Nicola Sturgeon ‘set to take away UK waters after Indyref2’, The Express, 9 December 2020

Times letters: the search for a deal in Brexit trade talks, The Times, 9 December 2020

The year of coronavirus has helped China close the gap on America, The Times, 5 December 2020

Boris Johnson set to secure critical agreement with Switzerland as EU talks on brink, The Express, 3 December 2020

Switzerland strikes post-Brexit business travel deal, The Telegraph, 3 December 2020

Podcast | What’s going on with Brexit? Institute for Fiscal Studies, 2 December 2020

Is the UK’s trade deal with Japan better than the EU’s? Full Fact, 30 November 2020

The Food Programme: What’s the deal with “chlorinated chicken”? BBC Radio 4, 23 November 2020

Will Freeports turbo charge the economy? Breakfast on BBC Radio Cumbria, 18 November 2020 (start approx. 2:07:19)

Freeports are economically trivial and politically expensiveFinancial Times, 19 November 2020

Ghana loses faith on UK trade deal, The Telegraph, 15 November 2020

Brexit: UK firms face £80bn trade hit due to government failure to roll over EU deals, The Independent, 13 November 2020

Cost of living gains from Brexit trade deals illusory, say experts, The Independent, 11 November 2020

The freeport con, New Statesman, 10 November 2020

Brexit: Liz Truss secures tariff wins with her Japan trade deal – for products UK doesn’t export, The Independent, 8 November 2020

Searching for value in the Japan–UK trade agreement, East Asia Forum, 3 November 2020

The Japan-UK Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA) – Running To Stand Still Or Stepping Stone? Trade Knowledge Exchange, 27 October 2020

Britain and Japan sign post-Brexit trade dealBBC News, 23 October 2020

Cheese seals the deal as UK and Japan sign ‘historic’ trade pactPolitico, 23 October 2020

UK Conservatives ponder global trade rebootPolitico, 22 October 2020

Farming Today: WTO trade rules, feathers for insulation, migrating wild birds and record breaking sheepdogs, BBC Radio 4, 20 October 2020 (starts approx. 07:20)

Hope for low-standard import ban boosted as expert claims it would be WTO compliant, Farmers Guardian, 18 October 2020

Covid 19 highlights need to update pharma supply chains, Chemistry World, 15 October 2020

Brexit will harm trade with the poorest countries, research shows, devex, 14 October 2020

Brexit: Expert reveals chances of getting a deal, Daily Express, 30 September 2020

Quest for trade deals takes Britain into turbulent seasThe Telegraph, 22 September 2020

Angela Merkel issues subtle message to UK with latest no deal warning – ‘Prepare and plan’, The Daily Express, 19 September 2020

Boris Johnson reassured Brexit U-turn to have no ‘long-lasting’ impact on UK reputation, The Daily Express, 13 September 2020

Britain is risking a car-crash Brexit of food shortages, another recession and isolation, CNN Business, 12 September 2020

Badgers, Brexit and a deal for dairy, Farmers Weekly Podcast, 11 September 2020 (starts approx. 2:50)

5 things to know about the UK-Japan trade deal, Politico, 11 September 2020

Britain clinches first major trade deal since leaving the EU, CNN Business, 11 September 2020

Westminster Hour – FreeportsBBC Radio 4, 6 September 2020 (starts approx. 45:00)

Brexit breakthrough: UK set to finalise new trade deal with Japan as soon as NEXT WEEKThe Daily Express, 5 September 2020

Government’s post-Brexit ‘freeport’ scheme tipped to make ‘no material effect’ on UK economyThe New European, 3 August 2020

Rishi Sunak’s freeports plan could hand vital boost to critical UK sector after BrexitThe Express, 3 August 2020

Freeport advantages for business are ‘almost non-existent’Financial Times, 2 August 2020

Mini Cooper Drivers May Face Mighty Shock of New Brexit RulesBloomberg, 30 July 2020

Johnson accused of post-Brexit attack on devolutionChannel 4 News, 22 July 2020

POLITICO Pro Morning Trade UK, Politico, 17 July 2020

Freeports plan will have ‘negligible’ benefit to UK economy, trade experts warnThe Independent, 15 July 2020

Business and politicians wary of UK plan for low-tax trade zonesFinancial Times, 12 July 2020

U.K.’s Global Trade Deals Still Pose a Huge Pre-Brexit ChallengeYahoo! Finance, 7 July 2020

Brexit: Cars produced in Japan to be stamped ‘Made in Britain’ under Boris Johnson’s plansThe Independent, 3 July 2020

DIT to review its trade modelling to strengthen the UK’s hand in future deal negotiationsInstitute of Export & International Trade, 2 July 2020

Quel avenir pour les relations commerciales entre le Royaume-Uni et la Chine? CGTN Francais, 27 June 2020

Brexit trade talks: Clock ticking on promise of global BritainThe Times, 15 June 2020

Boris Johnson faces losing billions if he bans Huawei in the UKThe Telegraph, 13 June 2020

Food standards and ginFarmers Weekly Podcast, 12 June 2020 (starts approx. 03:50)

Brexit: UK borders still not ready for leaving single market at end of year, MPs toldThe Independent, 10 June 2020

A new trade bargain can secure the supplies we need to fight next waveThe Telegraph, 10 June 2020

The UK and EU are facing the most extreme version of Brexit, Financial Times, 7 June 2020

Brexit: Businesses told to expect more bureaucracy and additional costs from January, Irish Times, 5 June 2020

No-deal Brexit holds fewer fears for a Covid-ravaged economyFinancial Times, 4 June 2020

No-Deal Brexit Threat Looms Over Pandemic-Ravaged U.K.Bloomberg, 2 June 2020

Coronavirus and Brexit are a poisonous combination for UK businessFinancial Times, 2 June 2020

Nuts, bolts and bay leaves: UK trade after Brexit, Financial Times, 22 May 2020

London soll zum Singapur an der Themse werdenWirtschafts Woche, 10 May 2020

Britain walks a tightrope in opening trade talks with ChinaThe Telegraph, 5 May 2020

Globalization is Down but Not Out Yet, Wall Street Journal, 28 April 2020

PPE hoarding and lessons from the 2007 food crisisFinancial Times, 27 April 2020

‘Global Britain’ dream threatened by virus nightmare, The Telegraph, 5 April 2020

Coronavirus: Lack of workers ‘could create food shortages’, Brighton Argus, 30 March 2020

The battle to keep supply chains rolling, Financial Times, 26 March 2020

British economy ‘to grow 0.16% at best under US trade dealThe Guardian, 2 March 2020

Inside Business – UK – EU Trade, BBC Sounds, 29 February 2020

UK., EU Gear Up for Thorny Post-Brexit Negotiations, Wall Street Journal, 27 February 2020

Boris Johnson’s Freeport Idea Is Full of Holes, Yahoo! Finance, 26 February 2020

Brexit Britain’s freeport utopia isn’t about free trade, or portsWired, 25 February 2020

Sunak gets ready to do a reverse OsborneThe Sunday Times, 23 February 2020

Brexit: How do you negotiate a trade agreement?BBC News, 21 February 2020

BBC Politics South East – Free Ports Boost or Bust? BBC One South East, 17 February 2020 (starts approx. 21:05)

Brexit: Ministers refuse to release secret studies believed to show little gain from trade deals with US and Asia, The Independent, 15 February 2020

How would free ports work in the UK? The Times, 10 February 2020

EU clamps down on free ports over crime and terrorism links, The Guardian, 10 February 2020

UK faces long road in ‘ambitious’ post-Brexit trade push into AsiaNikkei Asian Review, 6 February 2020

Where a Brexit Trade Deal Matters Most to Boris JohnsonBloomberg, 4 February 2020

Brexit and Fishing RightsBBC Politics South East, 2 February 2020 (starts approx. 9 mins)

Post-Brexit Britain may find trade deals hard to negotiateThe Economist, 1 February 2020

Brexit is here. What’s next for fashion?Vogue Business, 31 January 2020

Interview: Checks in Irish Sea might make Northern Ireland “unattractive” for tradeXinhua News, 30 January 2020

What is a free port?Port Technology, 30 January 2020

UK to outpace Europe in trade growth this year, US seen as top market for SMEsGlobal Trade Review, 22 January 2020

Britain languishes behind EU in battle for African tradeFinancial Times, 20 January 2020

Boris Johnson’s £60bn services deal dilemmaFinancial Times, 13 January 2020

Government free port plans are pointless says Sussex expertThe Argus, 3 January 2020


2019

Can new free trade deals compensate for the loss of frictionless trade with the EU? BBC Newsnight, 11 December 2019 (starts approx. 5:30)

Brexit: Free trade deals ‘won’t offset leaving EU’, BBC News, 11 December 2019

Boris Johnson misleading public over impact of his ‘unlawful’ Brexit deal, trade experts warn, The Independent, 10 December 2019

Study says US trade deal is risk to Union, The Times, 10 December 2019

Boris Johnson under scrutiny over Irish Sea border claims, Financial Times, 9 December 2019

NHS data is a goldmine. It must be saved from big tech, The Guardian, 9 December 2019

US could get access to UK health data, experts warnThe BMJ, 7 December 2019

The truth about whether Boris Johnson is misleading voters over his Brexit dealThe Independent, 6 December 2019

Unrealistic election pledges will leave the UK disappointedFinancial Times, 5 December 2019

Professor L. Alan Winters on the Brexit timelines of the Conservatives and LabourBBC News at 10, 4 December 2019 (starts approx. 22 mins)

US tech firms want access to £10bn NHS health dataThe Times, 2 December 2019

Tories claim Brexit deal would not mean Irish sea admin – but expert says that’s wrong, News Letter, 28 November 2019

Boris Johnson’s ‘arbitrary’ Brexit deadline will damage UK economy, say trade experts, The Telegraph, 27 November 2019

‘That’s completely wrong’: Michael Gove falsely claims EU has no single market for services, The Independent, 26 November 2019

Brexit: Tariffs on 60% of goods entering NI from GBBBC News, 16 November 2019

Brexit ‘could mean border checks between England, Scotland and Wales’The Independent, 5 November 2019

Post-Brexit trade with Northern Ireland may survive systemic abuseFinancial Times, 31 October 2019

What does Boris Johnson’s Brexit deal mean for UK business? The Telegraph, 17 October 2019

This deal doesn’t get Brexit done – it’s just the end of the beginningThe Telegraph, 17 October 2019

Prof L. Alan Winters on the Prime Minister’s proposal for Northern IrelandtalkRADIO, 6 October 2019 (starts approx. 11:33am)

What one day’s imports and exports tell us about Britain’s trade with the worldiNews, 29 September 2019

Brexit threatens food regulations, The Ecologist, 11 September 2019

Govt has ‘clear path’ to water down food regulation, experts warn, Farming UK, 11 September 2018

Would free ports help a post-Brexit Britain? Raconteur, 9 September 2019

How the devaluation of the pound has affected British business – for better and for worse, The Telegraph, 8 September 2019

The EU has signed trade deals covering half a billion civilians since Brexit, The London Economic, 26 August 2019

Germany Has Told Britain Its Food Producers Might Not Bother Exporting To It After A No-Deal Brexit, Buzzfeed, 22 August 2019

Brexit has chilling effect on UK inward investment, Financial Times, 21 August 2019

Lidl lines up suppliers to cover no-deal costs, BBC News, 18 August 2019

Nearly 1,000 jobs are on the line in Inverclyde if there is a ‘no-deal’ Brexit, Greenock Telegraph, 16 August 2019

‘No deal’ could cost 1,100 West Fife jobs says MP, Dunfermline Press, 15 August 2019

How a no-deal Brexit threatens your weekly food shop, The Guardian, 13 August 2019

As the U.S.-China trade war rages, an even bigger battle with Europe is brewing, Marketplace, 12 August 2019

What free ports can and can’t achieve, The Economist, 8 August 2019

As UK accelerates post-Brexit freeport plans, Truss takes lessons from U.S., Reuters, 8 August 2019

The UK food industry wants a pause in antitrust law to tackle Brexit food shortages, CNBC, 7 August 2019

Good Morning Scotland – UK-US Trade Deal, BBC Radio Scotland, (starts approx. 2:09:30), 6 August 2019

UK hopes for quick US trade deal are pie in Brexit sky, The Irish Times, 2 August 2019

UK plans to create up to 10 freeports to boost post-Brexit trade, Reuters, 1 August 2019

From ‘Blade Runner’ to Brexit in England’s industrial north, Politico, 1 August 2019

The Today Programme – Post-Brexit Free Ports, BBC Radio 4, (starts approx. 49mins) 1 August 2019

Good Morning Scotland – No deal and the backstop, BBC Radio Scotland, (starts approx. 1hr 40mins), 30 July 2019

Deadlock on Brexit may mean economy is already in recession, top forecaster warns, The Telegraph, 22 July 2019

UKTPO Report Outlines Trade Winners & Losers, Bloomberg, 18 July 2019

No-deal Brexit will cost £22bn a year to compensate businesses, landmark analysis reveals, The Independent, 14 July 2019

Brexit will decimate UK services exports – but remarkably clueless politicians would rather remain silent, The Independent, 8 July 2019

Will Boris Johnson’s free-trade zones actually boost the economy post-Brexit?The Independent, 7 July 2019

What is a free port? All you need to know about the free-trade zonesThe Guardian, 6 July 2019

Experts sceptical on Johnson’s plans for regional freeportsFinancial Times, 5 July 2019

What are ‘free ports’ and would they boost post-Brexit trade?The Week, 2 July 2019

An economist’s view on key Brexit claims, The Times, 26 June 2019

UK accused of ‘silently eroding’ EU pesticide rules in Brexit laws, The Guardian, 12 June 2019

Interview: U.S.-UK trade deal unlikely to happen in foreseeable future: expert, Xinhua News, 11 June 2019

South Korea agrees deal with UK for post-Brexit trade, Financial Times, 10 June 2019

Brexit uncertainty drives investment boost for other EU countries, Financial Times, 10 June 2019

Experts are sceptical about a UK-US trade deal amid Brexit and China uncertainty, The National, 6 June 2019

Would a trade deal with Trump boost Brexit Britain? Financial Times, 4 June 2019

UK hopes trade deal with US could soften Brexit blow, Deutsche Welle, 4 June 2019

The maths of a trade deal with Trump do not add up, The Telegraph, 3 June 2019

Turkey shows Britain that a customs union can hurt, Politico, 16 May 2019

Researchers fear ‘watered down’ UK pesticide legislation, Farming UK, 15 May 2019

The future of Britain’s automotive industry, Prospect Magazine, 14 May 2019

How is Brexit affecting FDI into Britain? The Economist, 9 May 2019

BREXIT BOMBSHELL: Brussels now MORE committed to EU exit than UK – claims lawyer, The Express, 4 May 2019

Why May’s and Corbyn’s Brexit plans could harm UK citiesYahoo! Finance, 22 April 2019

We must not compromise on our free market after Brexit divorce, The Telegraph, 7 April 2019

May’s deal has sacrificed services as price of ending free movement, The Times, 4 April 2019

May-Corbyn customs union is constitutional nonsense and a total victory for Brussels, The Telegraph, 3 April 2019

What is the trade advantage of being in a customs union with the EU? BBC Radio 4 Today Programme, 2 April 2019 (Starts 23.26)

Are the new trade deals quite what they seem? Newsnight, 28 March 2019 (starts 25.30)

Brexit: Rolled-over UK free trade deals ‘are incomplete’, BBC News, 28 March 2019

EU warns no-deal Brexit is ‘increasingly likely’, Financial Times, 25 March 2019

No-deal Brexit ‘to send exports tumbling by 20%’, says Sussex University’s UK Trade Policy Observatory, The Sunday Times, 24 March 2019

Uncle Sam’s trade deals are a game of chicken, The Sunday Times, 17 March 2019

Promises of new trade freedoms after Brexit are unlikely to be met, The Times, 16 March 2019

Most imports tariff-free under no-deal plan, BBC News, 13 March 2019

U.K. puts forward trade plans for no-deal Brexit, Global News, 13 March 2019

Britain’s trade gap widens as exports to EU fall, City A.M., 12 March 2019

Slashing Tariffs Won’t Redeem a No-Deal Brexit, Bloomberg, 9 March 2019

No-deal Brexit would take back control and hand it to Trump, experts say, The Independent, 6 March 2019

EU and U.S. officials meet to talk trade, Marketplace Podcast, 5 March 2019

How would a no-deal Brexit affect the UK economy? Financial Times, 4 March 2019

What could happen to food prices after Brexit? BBC News, 1 March 2019

How Brexit Could Damage Asian And African Economies, Global Finance, 1 March 2019

Free ports would deliver ‘limited’ economic boost to Grimsby, say economists, Grimsby Telegraph, 1 March 2019

After a no-deal Brexit, should Britain abolish all tariffs? The Economist, 28 February 2019

Honda, Brexit and the collapse of Japan’s love affair with the UK, Wired, 24 February 2019

‘Taking back control’ of UK agriculture clearly includes the right to be stupid, Financial Times, 21 February 2019

Honda to Shut Plant in Brexit-Shaken Britain, The New York Times, 19 February 2019

Honda’s U.K. plant closure adds to rising Brexit worries, CBS News, 19 February 2019

Honda to Shut Plant in Brexit-Shaken Britain, The Washington Post, 19 February 2019

Honda’s announcement that it will close its Swindon plant in 2021, BBC Radio Ulster (starts at 52.50 mins) 19 February 2019

Honda’s announcement that it will close its Swindon plant in 2021, BBC Radio Foyle (starts at 1hr 48) 19 February 2019

Brexit: What trade deals has the UK done so far?BBC News, 14 February 2019

Brexit: This is how many people could lose their jobs in each area of Coventry and Warwickshire, Coventry Telegraph, 13 February 2019

What are WTO terms and how will they affect the UK in the event of a no-deal Brexit? ITV news, 11 February 2019

Stephen Morgan: Getting Brexit right for Portsmouth International Port is vital, The House, 5 February 2019

How can the UK continue trading on current terms with third countries covered by EU trade deals? The Independent, 3 February 2019

What are World Trade Organisation terms and what exactly do they mean? The Independent, 29 January 2019

Brexit: How many trade deals has the UK done? BBC News, 25 January 2019

It’s a Cruel World for U.K. Companies Weighing No-Deal Brexit, Bloomberg, 25 January 2019

How badly could Brexit disrupt agricultural exports from Northern Ireland? The Independent, 22 January 2019

Dani Garavelli: Like a mob ready to take to the streets if thwarted, The Scotsman, 19 January 2019

How to run a new Brexit referendum and disappoint everyone, The Economist, 16 January 2019

Britons Most at Risk in a Messy Split From EU Are Least Worried, The Wall Street Journal, 13 January 2019


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